Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase – Punchestown

Punchestown

13:05

Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 2m3f150y

Class

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,850

Winning Time 5m 28.60s (slow by 39.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Folly Master (IRE) Keith Donoghue · Tom Dreaper	10/11F	Won
2nd	Rolly Bowley Boy (IRE) James O'Sullivan · P J Rothwell	14/1	3
3rd	Listentillitellyea (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	10/1	10
4th	Marronstown (IRE) Ben Harvey · D M Christie	11/1	10
5th	Noble Talent (IRE) Danny Mullins · T J Nagle Jr	7/2	4.5
6th	Hardwired (IRE) Sean Flanagan · T M Walsh	18/1	15
7th	Now Where Or When (IRE) J J Slevin · S R B Crawford	12/1	18

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Brazil (IRE) Mark Walsh · Padraig Roche	25/1
P.U.	From The Ashes (IRE) Philip Byrnes · C Byrnes	20/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Folly Master Chestnut J:Keith Donoghue T:Tom Dreaper	J:Keith Donoghue T:Tom Dreaper	164	—	011F-2	121	125	118	16d	—	—	-6	36.9	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Progressive 6yo; excellent recent comeback run; big player back at more suitable trip
8	Noble Talent Bay J:Danny Mullins T:T J Nagle Jr	J:Danny Mullins T:T J Nagle Jr	158	—	5-5241	115	128	72	52d	—	—	+3	22	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Gowran maiden winner looks the type to keep progressing and make his mark in handicaps
10	Marronstown Bay J:Ben Harvey T:D M Christie	J:Ben Harvey T:D M Christie	152	—	42-165	109	127	63	113d	—	—	+7	17.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
3m winner here in June; back from a break here but goes well fresh so not to be ignored
4	Listentillitellyea Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	164	—	261-73	121	123	89	21d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising third here recently; likely more to offer entering handicaps and gets this trip
6	Hardwired Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:T M Walsh	J:Sean Flanagan T:T M Walsh	163	tb	B11P-P	120	118	112	38d	—	—	+14	18.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Mistake took it's toll on recent comeback run; goes well here so don't rule out
9	Rolly Bowley Boy Chestnut J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	154	p	22270-	111	127	113	285d	—	—	+16	21.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Absent since March and debuts for new yard here; ideally wants it softer
2	Now Where Or When Chestnut J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	166	tp	57496-	123	124	112	249d	—	—	+13	20.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't convince over staying trips last season; back in trip for seasonal return
1	Brazil Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Padraig Roche	J:Mark Walsh T:Padraig Roche	166	t	0-9769	123	123	91	21d	—	—	+15	19.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yet to convince over fences; upped in trip for handicap debut
5	From The Ashes Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	163	p	072-80	120	125	32	23d	—	—	+14	18.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not an obvious contender but yard among the winners of late so don't rule out
NR	Willywampus Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eamon Courtney	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eamon Courtney	161	—	319-49	118	127	-	32d	—	—	—	17	—	—
Disappointing hurdles favourite latest; high enough mark on chase return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Folly Master	evn	evn	evn	evn	11/10
Noble Talent	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Marronstown	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Listentillitellyea	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hardwired	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Rolly Bowley Boy	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Now Where Or When	14/1	12/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Brazil	25/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
From The Ashes	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Willywampus	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Folly Master

36.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 5 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Noble Talent

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Rolly Bowley Boy

21.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Now Where Or When

20.2

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Listentillitellyea

19.7

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Brazil

19.5

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Hardwired

18.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

From The Ashes

18.7

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Marronstown

17.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Willywampus

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Now Where Or When	123	124	112
Brazil	123	123	91
Folly Master	121	125	118
Listentillitellyea	121	123	89
Hardwired	120	118	112
From The Ashes	120	125	32
Willywampus	118	127	—
Noble Talent	115	128	72
Rolly Bowley Boy	111	127	113
Marronstown	109	127	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Folly Master	16d ago	Fit
Listentillitellyea	21d ago	Fit
Brazil	21d ago	Fit
From The Ashes	23d ago	Fit
Willywampus	32d ago	Fit
Hardwired	38d ago	Fit
Noble Talent	52d ago	Fresh
Marronstown	113d ago	Long break
Now Where Or When	249d ago	Long break
Rolly Bowley Boy	285d ago	Long break