Poundland Handicap Chase – Warwick

Warwick

13:50

Poundland Handicap Chase

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,812

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Pep Talking Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Billy Aprahamian	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Billy Aprahamian	157	—	6-2611	94	111	89	35d	—	—	-11	21	15/8 35%
Thriving 6yo who did it nicely last time and a 5lb rise is manageable
2	Noche Negra Bay J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	164	—	1133-5	101	110	99	231d	—	—	-1	18.5	4/1 20%
Potentially well handicapped and could easily stage a revival on debut for his new yard
7	Jack Doyen Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	145	b	24-322	82	112	98	25d	—	—	0	11.3	7/1 13%
Only 3lb higher than for his last win and has produced solid efforts in his last two races
5	Royal Deeside Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	151	—	23-536	96	-	-	32d	—	—	+3	14.8	7/1 13%
Flat background so it remains to be seen how he takes to fences
1	Ballymackie Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	168	tp	1/5-85	105	109	82	18d	—	—	+10	22.4	7/1 13%
Has contested chases won by very classy rivals; this race is more realistic
6	John W Creasy Chestnut J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	151	—	0-75P1	88	108	100	22d	—	—	+3	11.9	10/1 9%
Recent Lingfield winner; back up 6lb and 4f in trip but could have turned a corner
3	Has Troke Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	163	p	2313-5	100	111	105	33d	—	—	+9	13.9	18/1 5%
Three-time winner; performed moderately the last twice and especially so on his comeback

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pep Talking	15/8	15/8	15/8	13/8	15/8
Noche Negra	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Jack Doyen	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Royal Deeside	6/1	6/1	6/1	7/1	6/1
Ballymackie	5/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
John W Creasy	8/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Has Troke	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballymackie

22.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Pep Talking

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

3rd

Noche Negra

18.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Royal Deeside

14.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Has Troke

13.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

John W Creasy

11.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Jack Doyen

11.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ballymackie	105	109	82
Noche Negra	101	110	99
Has Troke	100	111	105
Royal Deeside	96	—	—
Pep Talking	94	111	89
John W Creasy	88	108	100
Jack Doyen	82	112	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ballymackie	18d ago	Fit
John W Creasy	22d ago	Fit
Jack Doyen	25d ago	Fit
Royal Deeside	32d ago	Fit
Has Troke	33d ago	Fit
Pep Talking	35d ago	Fit
Noche Negra	231d ago	Long break