Poundland EBF Mares' "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (EBF Mares' NH Novices' Hurdle Qualifier) (GBB)

Warwick

12:50

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,540

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Crazierthandaisy Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	31-22	108	116	105	15d	—	—	-11	26.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Second at short prices in both hurdle races; clearly up to winning something like this
11	Realta Liath Grey J:Brendan Powell T:Warren Greatrex	J:Brendan Powell T:Warren Greatrex	154	—	136-23	-	114	87	26d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Emerged from off the pace to finish third over this trip at Wincanton
8	Honeywort Grey J:Jack Tudor T:Emma Lavelle	J:Jack Tudor T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	F27-74	-	112	87	26d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
An improved effort at Wincanton (2m5f) latest and that form brings her into the equation
10	Queshi Bridge Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alastair Ralph	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alastair Ralph	154	p	/23U3-	106	118	104	250d	—	—	+11	22	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has shown that she's able when fresh and brings definite form claims
16	Two Fingers West Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	154	—	31-5	-	109	64	21d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Made up ground to be beaten just under 10l in a Fontwell novice; likely improver
2	All Inn Hand Bay J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	154	—	3853	-	115	62	61d	—	—	0	5.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Improved third at Stratford (2m6f, good to soft) in a race that's worked out quite well
12	Roebuck Bay Chestnut J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	154	—	543-72	-	107	81	20d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Likely to need more than when second at Hexham but the longer distance should help
15	The Secret Pearl Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	154	t	450-33	102	112	78	22d	—	—	+8	14.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Lingfield last time was better as the front two are quite useful
9	La Dolce Dolly Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Andy Irvine	J:Niall Houlihan T:Andy Irvine	154	—	136	-	108	100	29d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Still early days and positives to take from her latest run at Plumpton
1	Come On Nia Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Andrew J Martin	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Andrew J Martin	166	—	8-1182	94	95	82	36d	—	—	+9	11.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dual 2m winner who looks vulnerable with the extra weight back in a novice
14	Sister Marguerite Bay J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	154	—	2-8	-	83	68	33d	—	—	+3	3.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Her heavy defeat on hurdling debut did come after an absence, but best watched for now
7	Hit For Sixty Chestnut J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	154	—	8-9	-	83	51	40d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
40-1 for hurdling debut here and dropped away to be tailed off
13	Scene Stealer Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Gary Brown	J:Adam Wedge T:Gary Brown	154	t	/4F2-4	-	91	44	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Point/bumper promise; didn't shape badly after an absence last time having raced freely
6	Fortune Dancer Chestnut J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	154	—	6/21/9	-	79	66	33d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Point winner but was tailed off on hurdling debut on the back of an absence
4	Damekap Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	154	—	2-90	-	-	25	26d	—	—	+3	3.7	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Instantly opposable on what she's shown in a bumper and 2m5f novice hurdle
5	Flyover Chestnut J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Stephen Allen	J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Stephen Allen	154	t	08	-	67	-	82d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Changed hands for 1,200gns after heavy defeats for two different yards

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crazierthandaisy	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/5	11/8
Realta Liath	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Honeywort	17/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Queshi Bridge	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Two Fingers West	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
All Inn Hand	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Roebuck Bay	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
The Secret Pearl	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
La Dolce Dolly	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Come On Nia	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Sister Marguerite	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Hit For Sixty	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Scene Stealer	80/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1
Fortune Dancer	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
Damekap	300/1	150/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Flyover	300/1	300/1	300/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crazierthandaisy

26.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Queshi Bridge

OR: 14 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

The Secret Pearl

14.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Come On Nia

11.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

La Dolce Dolly

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

All Inn Hand

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.9 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Realta Liath

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Sister Marguerite

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Damekap

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Honeywort

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Two Fingers West

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Roebuck Bay

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Hit For Sixty

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Scene Stealer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Fortune Dancer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Flyover

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crazierthandaisy	108	116	105
Queshi Bridge	106	118	104
The Secret Pearl	102	112	78
Come On Nia	94	95	82
Realta Liath	—	114	87
Honeywort	—	112	87
Two Fingers West	—	109	64
All Inn Hand	—	115	62
Roebuck Bay	—	107	81
La Dolce Dolly	—	108	100
Sister Marguerite	—	83	68
Hit For Sixty	—	83	51
Scene Stealer	—	91	44
Fortune Dancer	—	79	66
Damekap	—	—	25
Flyover	—	67	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crazierthandaisy	15d ago	Fit
Roebuck Bay	20d ago	Fit
Two Fingers West	21d ago	Fit
The Secret Pearl	22d ago	Fit
Realta Liath	26d ago	Fit
Honeywort	26d ago	Fit
Damekap	26d ago	Fit
La Dolce Dolly	29d ago	Fit
Scene Stealer	30d ago	Fit
Sister Marguerite	33d ago	Fit
Fortune Dancer	33d ago	Fit
Come On Nia	36d ago	Fit
Hit For Sixty	40d ago	Fit
All Inn Hand	61d ago	Fresh
Flyover	82d ago	Fresh
Queshi Bridge	250d ago	Long break