£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:24

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-01

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 2m 13.95s (slow by 7.45s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Midnight Lion (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Jim Goldie	11/1	Won
2nd	Percy Willis (GB) Hector Crouch · Jedd O'Keeffe	10/1	1.5
3rd	Ever Hopefull (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	12/1	1
4th	Urban Road (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	13/2	1
5th	Alpine Sierra (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	5/4F	.5
6th	Hartswood (GB) Warren Fentiman · Richard Fahey	20/1	1.75
7th	Ribba Hill (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Grant Tuer	10/1	1.5
8th	Sonnerie Power (FR) Jason Watson · Michael Appleby	15/2	0.2
9th	Life On The Rocks (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Richard Fahey	12/1	5.5
10th	Orange N Blue (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	40/1	.75
11th	Signora Bellissima (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Gemma Tutty	50/1	0.3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	129	—	66515-	66	85	59	4d	—	—	-14	22.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Won over C&D last month and he didn't get any luck here on Saturday; dangerous
8 (1)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	130	v	35144-	67	83	74	4d	—	—	+1	13.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won over C&D last month and was close up here on Saturday; big player if he gets some luck
2 (5)	Sonnerie Power Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	136	—	22703-	73	86	62	23d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	14.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Eyecatching third at Wolverhampton last month and has possibilities if he gets some luck
3 (7)	Ribba Hill Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	134	—	144-	72	81	13	185d	—	—	+3	13.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Course winner who is still unexposed and needs watching in the market on handicap debut
6 (3)	Percy Willis Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Hector Crouch T:Jedd O'Keeffe	131	p	41065-	68	83	53	4d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won at Wolverhampton in November but he's not made an impact in three runs since
10 (2)	Midnight Lion Brown J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	128	—	24651-	65	84	66	20d	—	—	+9	17	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Turned things around for new yard when making all over C&D last month; respected up 4lb
5 (9)	Ever Hopefull Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	132	—	73391-	70	84	48	18d	—	—	+12	19.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Unexposed filly who won at Wolverhampton on recent stable debut; respected up 3lb
11 (8)	Life On The Rocks Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	127	—	19606-	64	82	62	15d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Four wins on turf this summer but he's been well held back on AW in last four runs
7 (4)	Hartswood Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	131	—	91079-	68	84	64	12d	—	—	+5	8.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won the Leger Legends race at Doncaster in September but he's been out of sorts since
1 (11)	Signora Bellissima Brown J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Gemma Tutty	138	b	/0255-	75	83	3	22d	—	—	+7	9.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not easy to predict and she's finished last at Southwell in last two runs; down the list
4 (10)	Orange N Blue Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	—	/4338-	70	84	-	15d	—	—	+7	9.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Looks interesting on her best form but tailed off over C&D on recent comeback

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Alpine Sierra	11/8	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8
Urban Road	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Sonnerie Power	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Ribba Hill	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Percy Willis	17/2	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2
Midnight Lion	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Ever Hopefull	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Life On The Rocks	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Hartswood	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Signora Bellissima	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Orange N Blue	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alpine Sierra

22.8

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Ever Hopefull

19.5

OR: 5 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Midnight Lion

OR: 3.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sonnerie Power

14.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Ribba Hill

13.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Urban Road

13.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Percy Willis

9.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Signora Bellissima

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Orange N Blue

9.1

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Hartswood

8.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Life On The Rocks

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Signora Bellissima	75	83	3
Sonnerie Power	73	86	62
Ribba Hill	72	81	13
Ever Hopefull	70	84	48
Orange N Blue	70	84	—
Percy Willis	68	83	53
Hartswood	68	84	64
Urban Road	67	83	74
Alpine Sierra	66	85	59
Midnight Lion	65	84	66
Life On The Rocks	64	82	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alpine Sierra	4d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	4d ago	Quick return
Percy Willis	4d ago	Quick return
Hartswood	12d ago	Quick return
Life On The Rocks	15d ago	Fit
Orange N Blue	15d ago	Fit
Ever Hopefull	18d ago	Fit
Midnight Lion	20d ago	Fit
Signora Bellissima	22d ago	Fit
Sonnerie Power	23d ago	Fit
Ribba Hill	185d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.