Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:10

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-02

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 59.85s (slow by 2.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Water Of Leith (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	15/2	Won
2nd	Thunder Star (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	6/1	.75
3rd	Rodborough (GB) Tom Eaves · Alan Brown	14/1	.75
4th	Sanat (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	2/1F	0.05
5th	Gustav Graves (GB) James Sullivan · Derek Shaw	13/2	0.3
6th	Castan (GB) Dougie Costello · Bryan Smart	3/1	1
7th	Wrestling Revenue (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	17/2	1.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Sanat Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	135	—	85421-	73	91	64	135d	—	—	+2	26.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won 6f h'cap for Roger Varian; cost 30,000gns and gelded; interesting on stable debut
6 (3)	Castan Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Bryan Smart	J:Dougie Costello T:Bryan Smart	128	—	00344-	66	86	72	24d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-9	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dual C&D winner; on a good mark and latest C&D fourth has worked out well; chance
2 (2)	Thunder Star Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	134	p	67632-	72	84	69	52d	—	—	+2	17	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All four wins over 5f on turf; decent second over C&D latest; each-way chance
4 (1)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	31536-	68	83	60	27d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+3	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Nine-time winner (four on AW); good AW run two starts ago, but below best over C&D latest
3 (7)	Wrestling Revenue Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	131	—	13222-	69	85	-	64d	—	—	+8	23.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Both wins for Tony Carroll were on turf; not at his best previous AW runs; bit to prove
7 (5)	Gustav Graves Bay J:James Sullivan T:Derek Shaw	J:James Sullivan T:Derek Shaw	117	—	35889-	55	90	84	12d	—	—	-4	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner off 14lb higher last March; below par since September; bit to prove at present
5 (6)	Rodborough Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	129	p	29609-	67	83	64	20d	—	—	+2	6.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three wins over 5f at Southwell; out of form when last seen out; others stronger

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sanat	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	11/4
Castan	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Thunder Star	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Water Of Leith	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Wrestling Revenue	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Gustav Graves	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Rodborough	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sanat

26.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.4

11/4

2nd

Wrestling Revenue

23.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 13.9 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Thunder Star

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Water Of Leith

13.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Castan

11.7

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Rodborough

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Gustav Graves

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sanat	73	91	64
Thunder Star	72	84	69
Wrestling Revenue	69	85	—
Water Of Leith	68	83	60
Rodborough	67	83	64
Castan	66	86	72
Gustav Graves	55	90	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gustav Graves	12d ago	Quick return
Rodborough	20d ago	Fit
Castan	24d ago	Fit
Water Of Leith	27d ago	Fit
Thunder Star	52d ago	Fresh
Wrestling Revenue	64d ago	Fresh
Sanat	135d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.