Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:15

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2025-01-03

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 2m 31.48s (slow by 3.68s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Knockbrex (GB) Jack Mitchell · Charlie Johnston	4/1	Won
2nd	Hebridean Nomad (GB) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	7/1	2.5
3rd	Gallant Lion (GB) Luke Morris · Ian Williams	7/1	0.05
4th	Therapist (GB) Finley Marsh · Nicky Henderson	100/30F	1.75
5th	Raintown (IRE) Millie Wonnacott · J S Moore	13/2	3.75
6th	Early Morning Dew (FR) Liam Keniry · Jim & Suzi Best	28/1	1.75
7th	Damascus Steel (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ed Dunlop	12/1	4.5
8th	Crystal Mariner (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	5/1	2
9th	True Courage (GB) Joe Bradnam · Michael Bell	28/1	3.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Therapist Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Nicky Henderson	J:Finley Marsh T:Nicky Henderson	138	—	93/33-	78	88	37	30d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Kept on strongly for third in valuable 1m2f fillies' race here last month; respected
2 (5)	Knockbrex Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	139	—	/5643-	79	85	70	22d	—	—	-2	15.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Ended 2024 with three good runs over 1m2f, and this return to 1m4f ought to suit
3 (1)	Crystal Mariner Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	139	—	87362-	79	88	73	16d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Built upon promising stable debut when clear second at Kempton last month; shortlisted
7 (7)	Raintown Grey J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	133	—	15393-	73	87	56	4d	—	—	+4	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed at Wolverhampton on Monday and sure to be suited by return to this C&D
6 (6)	Gallant Lion Roan J:Luke Morris T:Ian Williams	J:Luke Morris T:Ian Williams	133	—	78308-	73	83	67	20d	—	—	-1	10.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Down the field on first two stable starts; considered only if lively in the betting
9 (2)	Hebridean Nomad Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	130	—	41/4-	73	91	50	31d	—	—	-3	9.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Returned from long layoff with promising fourth here (1m2f) on last month's handicap debut
5 (4)	Damascus Steel Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	137	b	01269-	77	86	56	23d	—	—	+9	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Will find this easier than latest assignment but current mark demands a career-best run
1 (9)	True Courage Brown J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Michael Bell	J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Michael Bell	141	v	47398-	81	89	77	29d	—	—	+7	10.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Didn't fire last time but accustomed to stronger races than this; player if back on song
8 (8)	Early Morning Dew Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Liam Keniry T:Jim & Suzi Best	131	—	12613-	71	86	64	71d	—	—	+17	19.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Arguably in career-best form when last seen in October; back from ten-week break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Therapist	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	9/4
Knockbrex	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Crystal Mariner	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Raintown	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Gallant Lion	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	17/2
Hebridean Nomad	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	11/2
Damascus Steel	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
True Courage	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Early Morning Dew	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Early Morning Dew

19.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

2nd

Crystal Mariner

18.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Raintown

15.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Knockbrex

15.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Therapist

14.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Damascus Steel

13.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Gallant Lion

10.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

17/2

True Courage

10.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Hebridean Nomad

9.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
True Courage	81	89	77
Knockbrex	79	85	70
Crystal Mariner	79	88	73
Therapist	78	88	37
Damascus Steel	77	86	56
Raintown	73	87	56
Gallant Lion	73	83	67
Hebridean Nomad	73	91	50
Early Morning Dew	71	86	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Raintown	4d ago	Quick return
Crystal Mariner	16d ago	Fit
Gallant Lion	20d ago	Fit
Knockbrex	22d ago	Fit
Damascus Steel	23d ago	Fit
True Courage	29d ago	Fit
Therapist	30d ago	Fit
Hebridean Nomad	31d ago	Fit
Early Morning Dew	71d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.