Dunraven Windows / EBF "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Chepstow

12:45

Date 2025-01-05

Distance 2m11y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-7yo

Prize £4,901

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Nowmelad Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	166	—	-22131	122	118	110	39d	—	—	+8	52.6	Evens 50%
Can front-run; has won at Uttoxeter and Hereford but now gives at least 10lb all round
4	Carismatic Soldier Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	156	—	2-2	-	126	60	31d	—	—	-19	21.8	5/4 44%
Second in a bumper at Huntingdon and novice at Leicester; the standout candidate on form
3	C'Est Different Bay J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Sam Thomas	J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Sam Thomas	156	—	65	-	94	-	21d	—	—	-5	1.7	14/1 7%
Midfield in a bumper at Chepstow and maiden hurdle at Windsor, but beaten more than 30l
5	Cornish Comedy Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	156	h	4-	-	-	-	274d	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
Backed for bumper (heavy) last April but soundly beaten; left Mel Rowley for £8,000 in May
8	Magna Victor Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	156	—	6-5	-	-	-	234d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Ran in two Perth bumpers last spring, easily better effort on debut
9	On The Go Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	156	—	F6	-	97	57	20d	—	—	-2	0.6	66/1 1%
Weakened in closing stages over 2m at Hereford (fell at the last) and Southwell (18l 6th)
10	Out Out Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	2-00	-	68	40	20d	—	—	+2	4.1	66/1 1%
Second in a bumper in 2023 but two remote finishes in 2m maiden hurdles this winter
6	Following Chapter Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	156	—	9	-	97	78	44d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
150-1 for maiden hurdle here (2m3f, good to soft) in November and was beaten 26l
7	Head Over Hinds Bay J:Tom Broughton(5) T:Max Comley	J:Tom Broughton(5) T:Max Comley	156	—	050P-3	-	94	73	25d	—	—	+2	3.4	100/1 1%
First run for new connections was modest form; may do better but hard to fancy just yet
11	Pooley's Promise Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Ryan Potter	J:Harry Kimber T:Ryan Potter	149	—	9	-	-	-	32d	—	—	-1	0.2	250/1 0%
150-1, disputed the lead long way when about 16l ninth of 11 in bumper at Ludlow
NR	Boston Boy Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	156	—	55-4OO	-	115	91	21d	—	—	—	0	—
Bang there when he ran out two flights from home at Leicester (2m4f) and Windsor (2m)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nowmelad	10/11	evn	10/11	5/6	Evens
Carismatic Soldier	11/10	5/4	6/5	11/10	5/4
C'Est Different	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Cornish Comedy	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Magna Victor	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
On The Go	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Out Out	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Following Chapter	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Head Over Hinds	100/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Pooley's Promise	250/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Boston Boy	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nowmelad

52.6

OR: 18 Form: 19.6 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Carismatic Soldier

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 13.3

5/4

3rd

Out Out

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Head Over Hinds

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100/1

C'Est Different

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cornish Comedy

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Magna Victor

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

On The Go

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Following Chapter

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Pooley's Promise

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Boston Boy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nowmelad	122	118	110
Carismatic Soldier	—	126	60
C'Est Different	—	94	—
Cornish Comedy	—	—	—
Magna Victor	—	—	—
On The Go	—	97	57
Out Out	—	68	40
Following Chapter	—	97	78
Head Over Hinds	—	94	73
Pooley's Promise	—	—	—
Boston Boy	—	115	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
On The Go	20d ago	Fit
Out Out	20d ago	Fit
C'Est Different	21d ago	Fit
Boston Boy	21d ago	Fit
Head Over Hinds	25d ago	Fit
Carismatic Soldier	31d ago	Fit
Pooley's Promise	32d ago	Fit
Nowmelad	39d ago	Fit
Following Chapter	44d ago	Fit
Magna Victor	234d ago	Long break
Cornish Comedy	274d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
C'Est Different	Mid-Pack
Boston Boy	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.