Luke Watson Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Ludlow

15:25

Date 2025-01-06

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14	Sullivan Bay Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Sean Bowen T:Jim & Suzi Best	148	b	-0P5P2	77	95	55	—	—	—	-10	19.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Has done well under both codes since joining current yard; big player back over hurdles
10	Olivia Kate Grey J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	155	p	008517	84	103	76	27d	—	—	+6	19.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Easy win over C&D in November but was disappointing off revised mark at Uttoxeter
15	Von Hallers Brown J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	147	—	PP6-P5	76	97	49	84d	—	—	-3	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Fair fifth at Hereford in October and could have untapped potential over this longer trip
4	Les's Jersey Royal Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	163	—	5-509	92	100	74	21d	—	—	+4	13.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
In good hands and still early days but he needs a transformation on handicap debut
2	Babatunde Black J:Micheal Nolan T:Richard Mitford-Slade	J:Micheal Nolan T:Richard Mitford-Slade	166	—	3464	95	88	74	19d	—	—	+6	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has shown ability over hurdles and this is more realistic on handicap debut; in the mix
11	De Vega's Warrior Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	155	—	0533	84	93	52	21d	—	—	+8	15.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Placed on handicap hurdle debut at Southwell last month; player if he can build on that
7	Tom Taggle Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	158	—	0-064	87	81	58	40d	—	—	+4	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Unexposed and he's bred to be much better than this opening mark; one to keep an eye on
8	Churchman Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	157	—	424-35	86	98	84	233d	—	—	+2	11.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-9 over hurdles but he's on a workable mark and is not ruled out on his return
16	Charming Getaway Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	147	—	/86/45	76	95	92	52d	—	—	+3	7.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
8yo who is 0-9 and was well held at Southwell latest; down the list
1	Dublin To Milan Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	166	—	4-U770	95	93	46	39d	—	—	+8	12.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Unexposed 6yo and he's a possible improver upped in trip on handicap debut
3	Call Your Bluff Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:T Ellis	J:Fergus Gillard T:T Ellis	164	t	730	93	86	45	46d	—	—	+9	14.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Mixed form in three runs so far and market should guide on handicap debut; tongue-tie on
9	Bruce Gobbler Bay J:Ben Godfrey T:Kayley Woollacott	J:Ben Godfrey T:Kayley Woollacott	156	—	F-P314	85	87	71	—	—	—	+3	10.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Point winner who is lightly raced over hurdles and he's not discounted back in this sphere
6	Brockarno Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	159	—	0-6377	88	94	63	17d	—	—	+7	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Signs of ability in his qualifying runs but was beaten 41l on handicap debut last month
5	Mac's Xpress Chestnut J:Ben Poste T:Clare Ellam	J:Ben Poste T:Clare Ellam	161	tp	475986	90	100	94	50d	—	—	+9	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-26 over hurdles and has been tailed off in all three runs for current yard
12	Seahouses Bay J:James Best T:Barry Brennan	J:James Best T:Barry Brennan	152	—	558-PP	81	100	-	32d	—	—	+6	8.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Pulled up in both handicaps over hurdles and can only be watched
13	Prairie Queen Brown J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	148	t	0P7-9P	77	80	64	35d	—	—	+4	7.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Still unexposed in this sphere but needs a tongue-tie to make a big difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sullivan Bay	7/4	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1
Olivia Kate	7/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Von Hallers	7/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Les's Jersey Royal	15/2	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2
Babatunde	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
De Vega's Warrior	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Tom Taggle	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Churchman	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1
Charming Getaway	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Dublin To Milan	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Call Your Bluff	25/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Bruce Gobbler	20/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Brockarno	50/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Mac's Xpress	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Seahouses	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Prairie Queen	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sullivan Bay

19.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Olivia Kate

19.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

De Vega's Warrior

15.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Call Your Bluff

14.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Babatunde

14.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Les's Jersey Royal

13.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Dublin To Milan

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Churchman

11.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Tom Taggle

11.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Bruce Gobbler

10.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

20/1

Brockarno

10.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

50/1

Mac's Xpress

10.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Von Hallers

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Seahouses

8.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Charming Getaway

7.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Prairie Queen

7.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Babatunde	95	88	74
Dublin To Milan	95	93	46
Call Your Bluff	93	86	45
Les's Jersey Royal	92	100	74
Mac's Xpress	90	100	94
Brockarno	88	94	63
Tom Taggle	87	81	58
Churchman	86	98	84
Bruce Gobbler	85	87	71
Olivia Kate	84	103	76
De Vega's Warrior	84	93	52
Seahouses	81	100	—
Sullivan Bay	77	95	55
Prairie Queen	77	80	64
Von Hallers	76	97	49
Charming Getaway	76	95	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brockarno	17d ago	Fit
Babatunde	19d ago	Fit
Les's Jersey Royal	21d ago	Fit
De Vega's Warrior	21d ago	Fit
Olivia Kate	27d ago	Fit
Seahouses	32d ago	Fit
Prairie Queen	35d ago	Fit
Dublin To Milan	39d ago	Fit
Tom Taggle	40d ago	Fit
Call Your Bluff	46d ago	Fresh
Mac's Xpress	50d ago	Fresh
Charming Getaway	52d ago	Fresh
Von Hallers	84d ago	Fresh
Churchman	233d ago	Long break
Sullivan Bay	—	—
Bruce Gobbler	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Babatunde	Prominent
Tom Taggle	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.