Ayrshire Wedding Show 2nd February Handicap Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)

Ayr

14:35

Date 2025-01-06

Distance 2m110y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,753

Winning Time 4m 21.59s (slow by 27.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Orbys River (IRE) William Maggs · Sam Allwood	22/1	Won
2nd	Tommy Combats (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Martin Todhunter	5/4F	8.5
3rd	Flash Du Pistolet (IRE) Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	13/2	2.25
4th	Raffles Wonder (FR) Nathan Moscrop · Rebecca Menzies	4/1	3
5th	Fathers Advice (IRE) Ben Smith · R Mike Smith	14/1	9
6th	Heeztheboy (IRE) Craig Nichol · Pauline Robson	4/1	8.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Ardera Cross (IRE) Derek Fox · William Young Jnr	25/1

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Tommy Combats gr/b J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	168	—	332-41	100	103	85	26d	—	—	-13	24.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Unexposed chaser who finished well when scoring at Hexham last month; respected up 5lb
3	Raffles Wonder Chestnut J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	164	ht	3143-3	96	106	86	26d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	20.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Made a promising start over fences when third behind Tommy Combats at Hexham; shortlisted
5	Heeztheboy Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	153	—	F6-764	85	105	86	26d	—	—	-2	13.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Back to form with 3l fourth behind Tommy Combats at Hexham last month; in the mix
2	Flash Du Pistolet Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	166	—	244-47	98	104	86	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	15.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-5 in points and has same record under rules after a disappointing run at Wetherby (2m3f)
6	Fathers Advice Bay J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	144	p	326-47	76	105	23	197d	—	—	+1	8.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Longstanding maiden and he looks opposable back from 197 days off
4	Ardera Cross Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	158	tp	5P-6PP	90	105	53	4d	—	—	+7	11.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
14 wins over fences but he's a 14yo now and has been pulled up here last twice
7	Orbys River Bay J:William Maggs(5) T:Sam Allwood	J:William Maggs(5) T:Sam Allwood	142	—	2U2-6P	74	-	-	69d	—	—	+4	6.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Mixed record over hurdles and she's not the percentage call on this chase debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tommy Combats	5/4	11/8	5/4	6/5	5/4
Raffles Wonder	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Heeztheboy	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Flash Du Pistolet	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Fathers Advice	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Ardera Cross	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Orbys River	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tommy Combats

24.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Raffles Wonder

20.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Flash Du Pistolet

15.1

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Heeztheboy

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Ardera Cross

11.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Fathers Advice

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Orbys River

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tommy Combats	100	103	85
Flash Du Pistolet	98	104	86
Raffles Wonder	96	106	86
Ardera Cross	90	105	53
Heeztheboy	85	105	86
Fathers Advice	76	105	23
Orbys River	74	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ardera Cross	4d ago	Quick return
Tommy Combats	26d ago	Fit
Raffles Wonder	26d ago	Fit
Heeztheboy	26d ago	Fit
Flash Du Pistolet	30d ago	Fit
Orbys River	69d ago	Fresh
Fathers Advice	197d ago	Long break