Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:30

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2025-01-07

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Ash Wednesday Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	127	t	55332-	47	73	60	12d	—	—	-24	25.7	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Unlucky loser over C&D on Boxing Day; this looks an ideal opportunity to make amends.
2 (3)	Bossy Parker Brown J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	134	—	54648-	54	67	57	22d	—	—	-14	7.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
In the mix over C&D (fourth) on penultimate start; 6lb below last winning mark; key player
1 (4)	Silky Robin Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Brian Toomey	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Brian Toomey	135	h	44874-	55	66	47	19d	—	—	-7	4.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Step back in positive direction when fourth of 13 at Chelmsford (6f; on stable debut); 7f?
6 (10)	Concert Boy Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Katie Scott	J:Rowan Scott T:Katie Scott	130	v	24327-	50	69	46	10d	—	—	0	8.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Poor strike-rate (1-38); competes from career-low mark on second Wolverhampton appearance.
5 (9)	Heerathetrack Grey J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	131	p	47587-	51	62	66	22d	—	—	-6	2.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won twice over 7f - Chelmsford & Kempton - around this time last year; unconvincing lately
9 (1)	Quick Away Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Frost	J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Frost	126	t	06007-	46	62	44	33d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Maiden (0-14); nothing positive since last March (1m, Southwell); a tongue-tie is fitted.
10 (6)	Kenstone Grey J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Adrian Wintle	126	p	36295-	46	67	53	59d	—	—	+1	3.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Veteran; no win since summer of 2023 (Chepstow); some positives, but others appeal more.
8 (5)	Brave Display Bay J:Zoe Lewis(7) T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Zoe Lewis(7) T:Thomas Faulkner	126	—	74266-	46	68	-	332d	—	—	+1	3.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
8-89; beaten a neck over 8.5f here last January; returns from a 332-day absence.
4 (7)	Lady Ava Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Max Young	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Max Young	132	h	24879-	52	66	59	24d	—	—	0	2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Nothing positive to take from recent C&D stable debut; risky in first-time hood.
3 (2)	Salaamaat Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	133	p	32700-	53	61	48	35d	—	—	+2	3.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
12-race maiden; failed to beat a rival in two AW starts for new yard; cheekpieces go on
11 (11)	Gypsy Nation Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	126	t	8458/9	46	59	-	3d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
12-race maiden; poor since joining current yard; last of nine here (9.5f) on Saturday.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ash Wednesday	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11
Bossy Parker	11/4	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4
Silky Robin	9/1	8/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Concert Boy	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	14/1
Heerathetrack	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Quick Away	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Kenstone	50/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Brave Display	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lady Ava	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Salaamaat	80/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Gypsy Nation	150/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ash Wednesday

25.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 17.1

8/11

2nd

Concert Boy

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

14/1

3rd

Bossy Parker

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Silky Robin

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Kenstone

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Salaamaat

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Brave Display

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Heerathetrack

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Lady Ava

OR: 0.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Quick Away

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Gypsy Nation

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silky Robin	55	66	47
Bossy Parker	54	67	57
Salaamaat	53	61	48
Lady Ava	52	66	59
Heerathetrack	51	62	66
Concert Boy	50	69	46
Ash Wednesday	47	73	60
Quick Away	46	62	44
Kenstone	46	67	53
Brave Display	46	68	—
Gypsy Nation	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gypsy Nation	3d ago	Quick return
Concert Boy	10d ago	Quick return
Ash Wednesday	12d ago	Quick return
Silky Robin	19d ago	Fit
Bossy Parker	22d ago	Fit
Heerathetrack	22d ago	Fit
Lady Ava	24d ago	Fit
Quick Away	33d ago	Fit
Salaamaat	35d ago	Fit
Kenstone	59d ago	Fresh
Brave Display	332d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.