Free Bet With Unibet's Betbuilder Rebound Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2025-01-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 13.57s (slow by 2.47s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Big R (IRE) Oliver Carmichael · Eve Johnson Houghton	6/1	Won
2nd	Above (FR) Daniel Muscutt · Robert Cowell	33/1	1.25
3rd	Grenham Bay (IRE) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	6/4F	0.3
4th	Hierarchy (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	11/1	.75
5th	First Company (IRE) Mason Paetel · Mark Loughnane	25/1	0.3
6th	Tyger Bay (GB) George Wood · Conrad Allen	11/2	0.1
7th	Man On A Mission (GB) Luke Morris · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	11/1	.5
8th	Runaround Sioux (GB) David Probert · Rod Millman	11/2	2
9th	Roach Power (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Michael Wigham	25/1	0.1
10th	Mighty Gurkha (IRE) Hector Crouch · Thomas Faulkner	14/1	2.25
11th	Gundogan (GB) Paddy Bradley · Simon Pearce	25/1	3.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Grenham Bay Grey J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	133	b	53651-	70	86	68	21d	—	—	-6	25.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Scored over C&D in new headgear last month; ought to remain competitive after 4lb rise
10 (8)	Runaround Sioux Bay J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	127	—	45255-	64	86	64	21d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ended last year in good form but without getting the breaks; on a good mark now
1 (9)	Tyger Bay Bay J:George Wood T:Conrad Allen	J:George Wood T:Conrad Allen	135	tb	87533-	72	89	76	26d	—	—	+1	14.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Placed twice elsewhere last month and sure to be suited by the return to this C&D
8 (4)	Big R Bay J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	b	99235-	67	87	67	21d	—	—	-1	12.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D specialist who returned from a break with a quite pleasing run here last month; player
3 (5)	Hierarchy Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	135	tb	23844-	72	88	71	36d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well last time and remains well handicapped but this quirky 6yo has become frustrating
11 (6)	Man On A Mission Bay J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	123	t	60561-	60	85	75	35d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+8	14.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Came from off the pace for C&D win last month; 4lb higher in a stronger race today
5 (10)	Gundogan Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	132	—	21435-	69	82	73	79d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+8	11.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won turf novice last summer and ran well in all three subsequent handicaps; stable debut
6 (7)	First Company Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	52129-	67	81	70	26d	—	—	+11	15.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Made all over C&D in November but didn't fire last time and remains on a tough mark
7 (3)	Mighty Gurkha Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Hector Crouch T:Thomas Faulkner	130	v	13568/	67	79	-	472d	—	—	+4	8.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dual C&D winner for previous yard but out of form when last seen in September 2023
2 (11)	Above Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	135	tp	92073-	72	83	67	26d	—	—	+7	11	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Took third after slow start at Southwell (5f) last month but others appeal more here
9 (2)	Roach Power Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Michael Wigham	J:Trevor Whelan T:Michael Wigham	127	—	75889-	64	75	48	21d	—	—	+2	4.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Regressive on turf last year and posed no threat in two AW races for new stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Grenham Bay	13/8	7/4	7/4	6/4	13/8
Runaround Sioux	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Tyger Bay	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Big R	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Hierarchy	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Man On A Mission	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Gundogan	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
First Company	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Mighty Gurkha	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Above	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Roach Power	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grenham Bay

25.9

OR: 5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

First Company

15.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

22/1

3rd

Tyger Bay

14.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Man On A Mission

14.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Big R

12.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 4

6/1

Gundogan

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Above

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1

22/1

Runaround Sioux

9.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Hierarchy

9.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Mighty Gurkha

8.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Roach Power

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tyger Bay	72	89	76
Hierarchy	72	88	71
Above	72	83	67
Grenham Bay	70	86	68
Gundogan	69	82	73
Big R	67	87	67
First Company	67	81	70
Mighty Gurkha	67	79	—
Runaround Sioux	64	86	64
Roach Power	64	75	48
Man On A Mission	60	85	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Grenham Bay	21d ago	Fit
Runaround Sioux	21d ago	Fit
Big R	21d ago	Fit
Roach Power	21d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	26d ago	Fit
First Company	26d ago	Fit
Above	26d ago	Fit
Man On A Mission	35d ago	Fit
Hierarchy	36d ago	Fit
Gundogan	79d ago	Fresh
Mighty Gurkha	472d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.