Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2025-01-08

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 28.27s (slow by 3.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Transparent (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	4/6F	Won
2nd	Vocal Legend (IRE) Jason Watson · Charles Hills	14/1	1.75
3rd	Easily Convinced (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	22/1	0.1
4th	Golden Thorn (IRE) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	9/1	4
5th	Bozeman (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	3/1	0.05
6th	Private Island (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	18/1	0.2
7th	Bouboule (GB) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	10/1	1
8th	Garibaldi Memory (IRE) Morgan Cole · Dylan Cunha	200/1	3
9th	Arctic Mission (IRE) Edward Greatrex · Mark Loughnane	300/1	.75
10th	Lovely Jubly (GB) Paddy Bradley · Michael Attwater	250/1	.5
11th	Iflookscouldkill (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	250/1	4.25
12th	Bear Baby (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	300/1	1.25
13th	Highland Rose (GB) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	200/1	17

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (3)	Transparent Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	124	—	2-	-	80	70	77d	—	—	-27	21.7	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Promising C&D second in October; upset in stalls here since (withdrawn); leading contender
5 (7)	Bozeman Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Half-brother to two winners; in top hands and could have a big say on debut
12 (13)	Golden Thorn Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	119	—	62-	-	77	56	28d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Showed pace when runner-up over 1m here on second start; key player
9 (14)	Vocal Legend Bay J:Jason Watson T:Charles Hills	J:Jason Watson T:Charles Hills	124	—	62-	-	79	54	48d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Runner-up on second start (1m, Polytrack); he was no match for winner but still respected
4 (8)	Bouboule Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
52,000gns yearling; stable has healthy strike-rate here; one to watch in betting on debut
13 (4)	Private Island Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	119	—	6-	-	62	-	146d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Soundly beaten last August on sole start but has a useful pedigree and is in good hands
11 (10)	Easily Convinced Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	120	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
17,000gns 2yo; market support would bring this Kodi Bear newcomer into calculations
7 (6)	Garibaldi Memory Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Dylan Cunha	124	—	69-	-	42	21	28d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Sizeable odds for his two starts in October/December and well beaten each time
3 (11)	Iflookscouldkill Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Dam 1m winner (RPR 57); from bang-in-form yard but one with poor record in novice races
1 (2)	Highland Rose Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	135	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Debut; trainer in fine form but he's just 1-151 in novice races in the last five years
2 (9)	Lovely Jubly Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	135	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Fourth foal; dam 7f AW winner (RPR 89); makes debut aged four and is probably best watched
10 (1)	Arctic Mission Grey J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	120	—	00-	-	45	20	12d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Big odds at Wolverhampton last month for first two starts and was down the field
14 (5)	Bear Baby Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	117	h	00-	-	43	-	25d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Well beaten at big odds towards the end of last year on first two runs
NR (12)	Cavolo Nero Bay J:David Probert T:James Ferguson	J:David Probert T:James Ferguson	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	—	0	—	—
Dam useful winner from classy family; the betting may be informative on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Transparent	8/11	4/5	8/11	8/11	8/11
Bozeman	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Golden Thorn	13/2	6/1	13/2	7/1	11/2
Vocal Legend	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Bouboule	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Private Island	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Easily Convinced	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Garibaldi Memory	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1	250/1
Iflookscouldkill	250/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	200/1
Highland Rose	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	200/1
Lovely Jubly	300/1	300/1	300/1	250/1	300/1
Arctic Mission	300/1	300/1	300/1	300/1	300/1
Bear Baby	300/1	300/1	300/1	200/1	300/1
Cavolo Nero	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Transparent

21.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.7

4/5

2nd

Golden Thorn

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Vocal Legend

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Bozeman

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Bouboule

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Private Island

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Easily Convinced

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Garibaldi Memory

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Iflookscouldkill

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Highland Rose

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Lovely Jubly

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Arctic Mission

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Bear Baby

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Cavolo Nero

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Transparent	—	80	70
Bozeman	—	—	—
Golden Thorn	—	77	56
Vocal Legend	—	79	54
Bouboule	—	—	—
Private Island	—	62	—
Easily Convinced	—	—	—
Garibaldi Memory	—	42	21
Iflookscouldkill	—	—	—
Highland Rose	—	—	—
Lovely Jubly	—	—	—
Arctic Mission	—	45	20
Bear Baby	—	43	—
Cavolo Nero	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arctic Mission	12d ago	Quick return
Bear Baby	25d ago	Fit
Golden Thorn	28d ago	Fit
Garibaldi Memory	28d ago	Fit
Vocal Legend	48d ago	Fresh
Transparent	77d ago	Fresh
Private Island	146d ago	Long break
Bozeman	—	—
Bouboule	—	—
Easily Convinced	—	—
Iflookscouldkill	—	—
Highland Rose	—	—
Lovely Jubly	—	—
Cavolo Nero	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.