Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Classified Stakes

Kempton (AW)

17:00

Date 2025-01-08

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 2m 28.32s (slow by 10.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sneaky Blinder (FR) David Probert · Robert Stephens	100/30	Won
2nd	Largo Bay (USA) William Carson · Michael Madgwick	15/8F	1.5
3rd	Disquietude (IRE) Callum Shepherd · John Butler	17/2	.5
4th	Muy Barato (GB) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	10/1	0.2
5th	Galactic Glow (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle	18/1	.75
6th	Iftikhaar (IRE) Sean Levey · J R Jenkins	15/2	0.2
7th	James Park Woods (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Dominic Ffrench Davis	16/1	0.1
8th	Lady Birdie (GB) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	16/1	1.75
9th	Crazy Maisie (IRE) Jack Dace · Mark Hoad	25/1	2.5
10th	Shy Nala (GB) Luke Morris · George Margarson	18/1	3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Largo Bay Chestnut J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	135	—	83755-	50	64	47	92d	—	—	-21	10.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Dual handicap winner in early 2024; absent since respectable turf run in October
11 (2)	Sneaky Blinder Bay J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	J:David Probert T:Robert Stephens	133	p	47057-	49	61	41	12d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Penultimate run hinted at a possible return to form; considered in this lower grade
7 (1)	Disquietude Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	133	—	0788-2	34	52	30	4d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
First worthwhile form when 50-1 second in this grade at Wolverhampton (9.4f) on Saturday
9 (9)	Muy Barato Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	133	—	7/300-	50	57	28	89d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed on handicap debut a year ago but ran very poorly on both subsequent outings
4 (6)	Iftikhaar Bay J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	135	p	33849-	46	57	40	79d	—	—	-5	4.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Below form last time and now 0-23 but more consistent than some of these; each-way claims
5 (3)	James Park Woods Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	135	—	21879-	45	54	17	13d	—	—	0	5.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ended long losing run over 1m on soft turf in September but three poor runs have followed
8 (11)	Lady Birdie Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	133	t	35366-	45	53	24	62d	—	—	-2	3.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Threatened to win off a lowly mark on turf last summer; out of form on AW in autumn
2 (8)	Galactic Glow Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	135	p	25486-	48	61	-	—	—	—	-3	2.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Looked out of sorts on both hurdling starts last month; not the percentage call here
1 (4)	Crazy Maisie Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Mark Hoad	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Mark Hoad	135	—	49890-	47	62	13	—	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Struggled on both hurdling attempts in the autumn but this task looks more suitable
10 (10)	Shy Nala Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	J:Luke Morris T:George Margarson	133	—	87436-	40	43	29	48d	—	—	0	2.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Modest third in soft-ground handicap two runs ago; needs improvement here
NR (7)	Gentle Fire Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	135	p	62979-	44	55	34	8d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Soundly beaten on both stable starts; needs big boost from refitted cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Largo Bay	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	13/8
Sneaky Blinder	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Disquietude	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Muy Barato	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Iftikhaar	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
James Park Woods	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Lady Birdie	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Galactic Glow	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Crazy Maisie	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Shy Nala	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Gentle Fire	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Largo Bay

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Disquietude

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Sneaky Blinder

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

James Park Woods

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Iftikhaar

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Lady Birdie

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Shy Nala

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Muy Barato

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Galactic Glow

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Gentle Fire

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Crazy Maisie

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Largo Bay	50	64	47
Muy Barato	50	57	28
Sneaky Blinder	49	61	41
Galactic Glow	48	61	—
Crazy Maisie	47	62	13
Iftikhaar	46	57	40
James Park Woods	45	54	17
Lady Birdie	45	53	24
Gentle Fire	44	55	34
Shy Nala	40	43	29
Disquietude	34	52	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Disquietude	4d ago	Quick return
Gentle Fire	8d ago	Quick return
Sneaky Blinder	12d ago	Quick return
James Park Woods	13d ago	Quick return
Shy Nala	48d ago	Fresh
Lady Birdie	62d ago	Fresh
Iftikhaar	79d ago	Fresh
Muy Barato	89d ago	Fresh
Largo Bay	92d ago	Long break
Galactic Glow	—	—
Crazy Maisie	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.