Kingston Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Happy Valley

11:40

Date 2025-01-08

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £67,407

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Thesis Bay J:TBC T:Y S Tsui	J: T:Y S Tsui	134	t	3004-5	59	68	-	3d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Decent effort when 3.25l fifth in a good 1m1f race on Sunday; reserve,
R14 (14)	Gor Mo Tuen Brown J:TBC T:David A Hayes	J: T:David A Hayes	128	t	08000-	53	66	-	21d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Struggling badly (over variety of trips/surface) since arrival from Australia; reserve.
1 (12)	Hyper Dragon Ball Chestnut J:Antoine Hamelin T:T P Yung	J:Antoine Hamelin T:T P Yung	135	ht	06000-	60	71	-	31d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Badly out of form; slight chance that longer trip/drop in class could spark a revival.
2 (7)	Mighty Commander Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	130	ht	60946-	55	76	-	31d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Yet to manage a top-three finish but possible that this step up from 7f could suit.
3 (10)	Team Happy Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	128	tb	71559-	53	72	-	13d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	3.8	—	—
Raised 13lb for two autumn wins; has struggled since; probably best over shorter.
4 (4)	The Azure Bay J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	127	—	03511-	52	72	-	13d	—	—	—	18.4	—	—
Looking to complete a hat-trick after two narrow C&D wins; 12lb higher than a month ago.
5 (1)	Good Luck Win Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Jimmy Ting	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Jimmy Ting	125	tb	08001-	50	70	-	28d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Led and battled back when headed to pull off 96-1 C&D shock last time; up 5lb; well drawn.
6 (2)	Foremost Teddy Bay J:C Y Ho T:C S Shum	J:C Y Ho T:C S Shum	121	tv	33270-	46	74	-	49d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Twice went close to first win (this C&D) before two lesser runs; back from 49 days off.
7 (8)	Starmen Bay J:Karis Teetan T:P F Yiu	J:Karis Teetan T:P F Yiu	121	he	000-	46	60	-	191d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Has posted three modest runs to date; back from break/new trainer/new headgear/up from 7f.
8 (3)	Apolar Fighter Bay J:Alexis Pouchin T:David Eustace	J:Alexis Pouchin T:David Eustace	120	tb	06740-	45	74	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Disappointing last time; repetition of previous C&D fourth would give him each-way chance.
9 (6)	Ninja Derby Bay J:Zac Purton T:A S Cruz	J:Zac Purton T:A S Cruz	120	ht	14425-	45	74	-	28d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
In fine form at present and merits close consideration with Purton again in the saddle.
10 (9)	U S S Constitution Bay J:Ben E Thompson T:J Size	J:Ben E Thompson T:J Size	120	ht	00009-	45	77	-	49d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yet to finish in the first four in HK; hard to fancy despite his tumbling handicap mark.
11 (11)	Viva Hunter Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:K L Man	J:Matthew Chadwick T:K L Man	119	t	69083-	44	74	-	21d	—	—	—	3	—	—
On a long win drought stretching back to April 2023; fair 3.5l third on dirt last time.
12 (5)	Super Baby Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:Mark Newnham	J:Lyle Hewitson T:Mark Newnham	117	t	45340-	42	76	-	35d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Winless in his last 14 starts but nicely treated as a result; back from five weeks away.

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Azure

18.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 17.9 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Good Luck Win

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Ninja Derby

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Foremost Teddy

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

Team Happy

3.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Viva Hunter

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Hyper Dragon Ball

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Thesis

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Super Baby

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Mighty Commander

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gor Mo Tuen

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Starmen

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Apolar Fighter

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

U S S Constitution

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hyper Dragon Ball	60	71	—
Thesis	59	68	—
Mighty Commander	55	76	—
Gor Mo Tuen	53	66	—
Team Happy	53	72	—
The Azure	52	72	—
Good Luck Win	50	70	—
Foremost Teddy	46	74	—
Starmen	46	60	—
Apolar Fighter	45	74	—
Ninja Derby	45	74	—
U S S Constitution	45	77	—
Viva Hunter	44	74	—
Super Baby	42	76	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thesis	3d ago	Quick return
Team Happy	13d ago	Quick return
The Azure	13d ago	Quick return
Gor Mo Tuen	21d ago	Fit
Viva Hunter	21d ago	Fit
Good Luck Win	28d ago	Fit
Apolar Fighter	28d ago	Fit
Ninja Derby	28d ago	Fit
Hyper Dragon Ball	31d ago	Fit
Mighty Commander	31d ago	Fit
Super Baby	35d ago	Fit
Foremost Teddy	49d ago	Fresh
U S S Constitution	49d ago	Fresh
Starmen	191d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.