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Lingfield (AW)

12:12

Date 2025-01-12

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Charlatan Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	135	—	29682-	50	64	44	23d	—	—	-15	15.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Dropping back to a sharp 7f is the concern but he's in the mix after latest near miss
1 (2)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	143	b	321-31	53	61	50	5d	—	—	-19	9.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
In the zone and defied a wide trip at Wolverhampton; strong claims
2 (8)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	135	p	186U5-	47	59	45	23d	—	—	-8	4.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Pops up now and again with a good run and Polytrack suits better than Tapeta
5 (10)	Dourado Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	135	v	95200-	48	60	50	67d	—	—	-4	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Six wins include two on the AW; howver, very poor the last twice and he's an 11yo now
7 (5)	Outreach Grey J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	135	p	30787-	46	61	56	17d	—	—	-5	2.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Both wins on Tapeta but a greater concern would be his recent efforts
8 (4)	Reel Power Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	135	v	4/030-	49	63	25	24d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Placed at Kempton two runs back but pretty much tailed off on either side of it
11 (9)	Tea Leaf Ted Chestnut J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	135	p	76877-	43	53	43	24d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Nothing to shout about in six starts since going very close in a handicap last January
6 (1)	Lupset Flossy Pop Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Gary Brown	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Gary Brown	135	—	68430-	45	58	-	22d	—	—	-1	3.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has won once in 31 starts and trailed in last after a break at Wolverhampton
3 (11)	Alice's Impact Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	135	—	22700-	48	57	11	72d	—	—	-1	3.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
The ability is there should David Evans reverse her fortunes; market useful
10 (3)	So Chic Bay J:Gina Mangan T:Stephanie Cassidy	J:Gina Mangan T:Stephanie Cassidy	135	—	68968-	47	63	25	30d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-3	1.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Wasn't in bad form up until March last year but the wheels have come off
9 (7)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Olivia Tubb(5) T:Camilla Poulton	J:Olivia Tubb(5) T:Camilla Poulton	135	—	46660-	45	54	39	93d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Winning handicapper for Adam West for whom he lost her way; lots to prove after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Charlatan	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4
Autumn Angel	15/8	9/4	7/4	15/8	15/8
Ajrad	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Dourado	12/1	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Outreach	14/1	12/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Reel Power	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Tea Leaf Ted	22/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	22/1
Lupset Flossy Pop	28/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Alice's Impact	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
So Chic	28/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	28/1
Run Joy Run	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charlatan

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Autumn Angel

9.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Dourado

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Ajrad

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Alice's Impact

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Lupset Flossy Pop

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Outreach

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Reel Power

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Tea Leaf Ted

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

So Chic

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Run Joy Run

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Autumn Angel	53	61	50
Charlatan	50	64	44
Reel Power	49	63	25
Dourado	48	60	50
Alice's Impact	48	57	11
Ajrad	47	59	45
So Chic	47	63	25
Outreach	46	61	56
Lupset Flossy Pop	45	58	—
Run Joy Run	45	54	39
Tea Leaf Ted	43	53	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Autumn Angel	5d ago	Quick return
Outreach	17d ago	Fit
Lupset Flossy Pop	22d ago	Fit
Charlatan	23d ago	Fit
Ajrad	23d ago	Fit
Reel Power	24d ago	Fit
Tea Leaf Ted	24d ago	Fit
So Chic	30d ago	Fit
Dourado	67d ago	Fresh
Alice's Impact	72d ago	Fresh
Run Joy Run	93d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.