Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

12:52

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-14

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Triple Charged Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	37055-	69	77	60	17d	—	—	-14	13.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Well held in first two handicaps; more promise at Newcastle (6f) latest when not clear run
5 (7)	Horus Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	133	—	24981-	69	76	65	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	22.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Showed true colours when winning his first 6f handicap latest; up 6lb; more to come
1 (1)	Blue Lakota Chestnut J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Kevin Ryan	135	—	22113-	71	78	66	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+10	28.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Major improver; unlucky 3rd over 6f at Newcastle last time; solid chance on course debut
2 (3)	Kildonan Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	135	b	36017-	71	77	52	31d	—	—	+3	16.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won C&D maiden in November; had an excuse but held here next time; others more obvious
7 (2)	Psychodrama Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	542-	66	75	15	39d	—	—	+4	10.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Seemed to stay 6f behind impressive newcomer at Newcastle; may improve now handicapping
3 (6)	Nad Alshiba Rain Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	134	—	566-	70	76	-	35d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two promising 6f runs last June; faded at 7f back from break; respected on handicap debut
8 (4)	Flicka's Girl Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:David Loughnane	J:Hector Crouch T:David Loughnane	129	—	08676-	65	71	59	14d	—	—	+1	4.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Plenty of experience but 6f again seemed to stretch her at Lingfield last time
9 (5)	Mystical Elegance Chestnut J:David Probert T:Simon Hodgson	J:David Probert T:Simon Hodgson	126	p	38407-	62	74	57	14d	—	—	+3	4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Went close over 7f last June; minor efforts in two 6f handicaps last month; up against it
NR (9)	Jake Loves Laura Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul Attwater	J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul Attwater	131	—	553-	67	73	-	71d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Has shown enough at 6f, including over C&D, to make her of some interest now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Triple Charged	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	85/40
Horus	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1
Blue Lakota	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Kildonan	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Psychodrama	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Nad Alshiba Rain	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Flicka's Girl	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Mystical Elegance	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Jake Loves Laura	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Lakota

28.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Horus

22.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 11 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Kildonan

16.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 4

13/2

Triple Charged

13.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Psychodrama

10.9

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Jake Loves Laura

7.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Nad Alshiba Rain

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Flicka's Girl

4.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Mystical Elegance

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Lakota	71	78	66
Kildonan	71	77	52
Nad Alshiba Rain	70	76	—
Triple Charged	69	77	60
Horus	69	76	65
Jake Loves Laura	67	73	—
Psychodrama	66	75	15
Flicka's Girl	65	71	59
Mystical Elegance	62	74	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Horus	14d ago	Fit
Flicka's Girl	14d ago	Fit
Mystical Elegance	14d ago	Fit
Triple Charged	17d ago	Fit
Blue Lakota	17d ago	Fit
Kildonan	31d ago	Fit
Nad Alshiba Rain	35d ago	Fit
Psychodrama	39d ago	Fit
Jake Loves Laura	71d ago	Fresh