Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:55

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-14

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 43.65s (slow by 5.95s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Charlatan (IRE) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	11/4	Won
2nd	Marinakis (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Ian Williams	7/4F	1
3rd	Balqaa (GB) Jason Hart · Stella Barclay	11/1	2.75
4th	True Nation (IRE) Joanna Mason · Richard Fahey	10/1	.5
5th	Retraction (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	4/1	0.3
6th	Impeach (IRE) Archie Young · Rebecca Menzies	14/1	2.5
7th	Fifty Sent (GB) Tom Eaves · Sam England	28/1	2.25
8th	Cherry Tree Dawn (GB) Aiden Brookes · Brian Rothwell	200/1	6.5
9th	Twistaline (GB) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	22/1	2.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Marinakis Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	127	—	/807-1	50	69	62	5d	—	—	-11	19.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
First win at Chelmsford five days ago; not taken lightly under a 5lb penalty here
6 (8)	Charlatan Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	127	—	29682-	50	74	52	25d	—	—	-10	12.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Got right back on track when a C&D second 25 days ago; can go well again off same mark
1 (10)	Retraction Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	45333-	58	72	61	31d	—	—	-4	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Didn't enjoy rub of the green when third at Wolver last time; merits serious consideration
3 (2)	Balqaa Bay J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	133	—	10434-	56	70	60	24d	—	—	-1	8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Arrives in good nick; this C&D scorer must enter calculations once more
9 (5)	True Nation Brown J:Joanna Mason T:Richard Fahey	J:Joanna Mason T:Richard Fahey	122	—	12854-	45	65	58	15d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
In good form, fourth in 9.5f Wolverhampton handicap 15 days ago; one for the shortlist
4 (7)	Impeach Chestnut J:Archie Young(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Archie Young(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	132	p	5664-5	55	72	62	12d	—	—	-3	3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Solid fifth for his new yard at Newcastle 12 days ago; ought to be thereabouts
8 (9)	Twistaline Bay J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	126	v	6039-2	49	69	51	10d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Back to form when second of 11 in 7f classified event here ten days ago; considered
5 (3)	Fifty Sent Brown J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	129	—	3552-6	52	69	53	12d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-2	1.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Shaped as if run was needed on yard debut when sixth at Newcastle; can build on that
10 (6)	Cherry Tree Dawn Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Brian Rothwell	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Brian Rothwell	122	b	88U78-	45	56	-	153d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Yet to offer any form of note; blinkered for her Tapeta debut with lots to prove
NR (1)	First Dynasty Bay J:Grace McEntee T:Max Young	J:Grace McEntee T:Max Young	134	p	1740-9	57	71	61	10d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Last at Wolver ten days ago; cheekpieces replace blinkers with plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Marinakis	15/8	15/8	7/4	13/8	7/4
Charlatan	5/2	11/4	11/4	10/3	3/1
Retraction	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Balqaa	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
True Nation	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Impeach	20/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Twistaline	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Fifty Sent	50/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	33/1
Cherry Tree Dawn	200/1	150/1	200/1	125/1	125/1
First Dynasty	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marinakis

19.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Retraction

OR: 2 Form: 6.6 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Charlatan

12.7

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Balqaa

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Twistaline

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

True Nation

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Impeach

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

20/1

First Dynasty

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Fifty Sent

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Cherry Tree Dawn

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Retraction	58	72	61
First Dynasty	57	71	61
Balqaa	56	70	60
Impeach	55	72	62
Fifty Sent	52	69	53
Marinakis	50	69	62
Charlatan	50	74	52
Twistaline	49	69	51
True Nation	45	65	58
Cherry Tree Dawn	45	56	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marinakis	5d ago	Quick return
Twistaline	10d ago	Quick return
First Dynasty	10d ago	Quick return
Impeach	12d ago	Quick return
Fifty Sent	12d ago	Quick return
True Nation	15d ago	Fit
Balqaa	24d ago	Fit
Charlatan	25d ago	Fit
Retraction	31d ago	Fit
Cherry Tree Dawn	153d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.