£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

13:08

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-15

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (12)	The Bay Warrior Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	133	—	17532-	63	76	51	27d	—	—	0	17.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winner of five AW races, the latest over C&D; comes here in decent form and a contender
2 (11)	Aikhal Bay J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	140	t	67996-	70	83	48	81d	—	—	-10	11.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Smart performer for Aidan O'Brien; not as effective now; on a good mark; plenty to prove
7 (4)	Night Bear Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	133	p	43173-	63	76	42	17d	—	—	+1	16.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Winner over 1m4f here; good third here last time (also 1m4f); stable going well; respected
10 (7)	Lightningboltzoom Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	131	—	437-	63	68	47	58d	—	—	-3	8.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Unexposed; fair form in 3 runs over 1m and better unexpected up in trip on handicap debut
12 (9)	Harry The Haggler Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	126	t	62325-	56	80	71	18d	—	—	0	11.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not won since 7f AW win in November 2023; two fair runs for this yard; stamina to prove
4 (3)	Palazzo Persico Bay J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	137	v	94816-	69	76	58	19d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won three on AW, latest in October (visored first time); first run at 1m3f; a possible
11 (1)	Path To Glory Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	127	—	243-	59	64	21	146d	—	—	+2	10.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In the frame on all starts so far (latest on AW); interesting up in trip on h'cap debut
3 (6)	Bizarre Law Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	138	p	09080-	68	71	60	19d	—	—	0	6.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual winner for Andrew Balding; bought for 5,000gns in October; not in best of form
6 (2)	Shady Bay Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	134	h	83915-	66	75	33	37d	—	—	+7	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unexposed; 25-1 C&D win here in October; not so good last time; hood tried; a possible
5 (8)	Risen Again Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	136	h	32366-	68	75	49	17d	—	—	+3	10	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ex-James Ferguson; strong puller; fair 6th over 1m here last time; 1m3f not sure to suit
9 (5)	Down To The Kid Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	132	t	755/0-	62	76	-	27d	—	—	0	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Three wins over 1m4f here; tailed off after a break and a wind op last time
NR (10)	Bold Ribb Bay J:TBC T:John Ryan	J: T:John Ryan	140	—	/5870-	70	76	55	26d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Ex-Irish; 1m2f AW winner for this yard in 2023, but below par last year; bit to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
The Bay Warrior	9/2	7/2	4/1
Aikhal	7/2	11/2	7/2
Night Bear	11/2	7/1	5/1
Lightningboltzoom	6/1	7/1	13/2
Harry The Haggler	15/2	11/2	7/1
Palazzo Persico	12/1	11/1	12/1
Path To Glory	11/1	8/1	11/1
Bizarre Law	16/1	14/1	14/1
Shady Bay	16/1	11/1	16/1
Risen Again	16/1	10/1	16/1
Down To The Kid	25/1	25/1	22/1
Bold Ribb	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Bay Warrior

17.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Night Bear

16.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 4.4

7/1

3rd

Palazzo Persico

13.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Shady Bay

13.6

OR: 4 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Harry The Haggler

11.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Aikhal

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/2

Path To Glory

10.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Risen Again

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Lightningboltzoom

8.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Bizarre Law

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Bold Ribb

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Down To The Kid

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aikhal	70	83	48
Bold Ribb	70	76	55
Palazzo Persico	69	76	58
Bizarre Law	68	71	60
Risen Again	68	75	49
Shady Bay	66	75	33
The Bay Warrior	63	76	51
Night Bear	63	76	42
Lightningboltzoom	63	68	47
Down To The Kid	62	76	—
Path To Glory	59	64	21
Harry The Haggler	56	80	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Night Bear	17d ago	Fit
Risen Again	17d ago	Fit
Harry The Haggler	18d ago	Fit
Palazzo Persico	19d ago	Fit
Bizarre Law	19d ago	Fit
Bold Ribb	26d ago	Fit
The Bay Warrior	27d ago	Fit
Down To The Kid	27d ago	Fit
Shady Bay	37d ago	Fit
Lightningboltzoom	58d ago	Fresh
Aikhal	81d ago	Fresh
Path To Glory	146d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.