BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2025-01-17

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 58.50s (slow by 1.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Popular Dream (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	9/4F	Won
2nd	Miggy Magic (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Michael Keady	11/4	.5
3rd	Lady Nunthorpe (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Geoff Oldroyd	25/1	1.5
4th	Havechatma (GB) Luke Morris · Dean Ivory	25/1	1.25
5th	Beaumadier (IRE) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	4/1	1.5
6th	Toptime (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	11/4	.75

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Miggy Magic Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Keady	J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Keady	135	b	/6083-	66	78	59	19d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Took a firm grip when third over 6f here last time; dropping in distance could work
2 (4)	Toptime Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	134	—	37415-	65	81	69	19d	—	—	-5	18.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Did it easily over 5f here just before Christmas and went off a bit hot over 6f next time
6 (6)	Beaumadier Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	128	—	0206-1	59	78	57	7d	—	—	-2	18	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won well last week; penalised in a higher grade but may have turned a corner
5 (5)	Popular Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	131	—	4125-8	62	80	67	6d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Hasn't been beaten far in his last two races, the latest a Class 4; not without hope
3 (3)	Havechatma Bay J:Luke Morris T:Dean Ivory	J:Luke Morris T:Dean Ivory	133	b	35110-	64	77	63	27d	—	—	+12	17.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Returning here can only be a good thing but has a bit to prove at this level off this mark
4 (1)	Lady Nunthorpe Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Geoff Oldroyd	133	p	83108-	64	79	67	18d	—	—	+6	10.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
C&D winner but hasn't beaten a rival in her last two races at Newcastle and Wolverhampton

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Miggy Magic	5/2	9/4	5/2
Toptime	11/4	11/4	11/4
Beaumadier	3/1	10/3	10/3
Popular Dream	7/2	7/2	10/3
Havechatma	22/1	16/1	18/1
Lady Nunthorpe	22/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toptime

18.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 6.9

11/4

2nd

Beaumadier

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Havechatma

17.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Miggy Magic

14.3

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Lady Nunthorpe

10.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Popular Dream

8.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miggy Magic	66	78	59
Toptime	65	81	69
Havechatma	64	77	63
Lady Nunthorpe	64	79	67
Popular Dream	62	80	67
Beaumadier	59	78	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Popular Dream	6d ago	Quick return
Beaumadier	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Nunthorpe	18d ago	Fit
Miggy Magic	19d ago	Fit
Toptime	19d ago	Fit
Havechatma	27d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.