Additional Novice Stakes – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

3:40

Additional Novice Stakes

Date 2025-01-20

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (7)	Almosh'her b J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	137	—	1-	-	89	35	22d	—	—	-14	21.4	11/8 42%
Well backed when winning on last month's Southwell debut; new trip should suit; big chance
11 (8)	Amazonian b J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	2/1 33%
350,000gns yearling; sister to yard's classy River Of Stars; interesting newcomer
7 (1)	Fireblade b J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	b	5223-2	81	92	87	12d	—	—	-1	18.5	7/2 22%
Consistent rather than progressive in novice events over further; vulnerable to improvers
8 (4)	Nahy b J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	t	6-	-	76	26	22d	—	—	-6	2.5	10/1 9%
In need of the experience when sixth behind Almosh'her on debut; open to improvement
6 (6)	Dalton Park b J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Hughes	J:Billy Loughnane T:Richard Hughes	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	14/1 7%
50,000gns 3yo; bred to be smart over middle distances; betting to guide on belated debut
5 (3)	Courageous Gold b J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	130	—	5-	-	63	27	23d	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Didn't live up to market billing on debut when inexperience was evident; can do better
13 (11)	Sawgrass b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Hughie Morrison	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
First foal of a 1m2f-1m4f winner (including Listed); worth a market check
2 (13)	Breathless Bishop ch J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	132	—	74/	-	73	-	581d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Two runs in summer 2023, showing some promise; makes stable debut after 581 days off
10 (9)	Yes Sir b J:Marco Ghiani T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Marco Ghiani T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	130	—	04-	-	64	28	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Second run was better than his first but he'll need further improvement to take this
3 (5)	Kevano Breeze b J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	500/1 0%
Modest in bumpers and he'd be a surprise winner now making his Flat debut
4 (10)	The Cooleen b J:Shane Kelly T:Mark Hoad	J:Shane Kelly T:Mark Hoad	132	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	500/1 0%
Poor maiden hurdler; makes no appeal switched to the Flat
9 (2)	Paradise Circus b J:Trevor Whelan T:Joe Tickle	J:Trevor Whelan T:Joe Tickle	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	500/1 0%
80-1 when tailed off in a Hereford bumper last month; no appeal
12 (12)	Ruby Kendyl ch J:Tyler Heard T:Joe Tickle	J:Tyler Heard T:Joe Tickle	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	500/1 0%
Half-sister to four winners but others have stronger paper claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Almosh'her	5/4	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8
Amazonian	15/8	15/8	15/8	2/1	15/8
Fireblade	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Nahy	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dalton Park	14/1	9/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Courageous Gold	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Sawgrass	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1
Breathless Bishop	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Yes Sir	200/1	200/1	200/1	125/1	125/1
Kevano Breeze	500/1	300/1	300/1	150/1	300/1
The Cooleen	500/1	300/1	300/1	150/1	300/1
Paradise Circus	500/1	300/1	300/1	150/1	300/1
Ruby Kendyl	500/1	300/1	300/1	150/1	300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Almosh'her

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Fireblade

18.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Amazonian

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

Nahy

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Dalton Park

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Courageous Gold

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Sawgrass

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Breathless Bishop

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Yes Sir

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Kevano Breeze

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

The Cooleen

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Paradise Circus

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Ruby Kendyl

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fireblade Top Rated	81	92	87
Almosh'her	—	89	35
Amazonian	—	—	—
Nahy	—	76	26
Dalton Park	—	—	—
Courageous Gold	—	63	27
Sawgrass	—	—	—
Breathless Bishop	—	73	—
Yes Sir	—	64	28
Kevano Breeze	—	—	—
The Cooleen	—	—	—
Paradise Circus	—	—	—
Ruby Kendyl	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fireblade	12d ago	Quick return
Almosh'her	22d ago	Fit
Nahy	22d ago	Fit
Courageous Gold	23d ago	Fit
Yes Sir	23d ago	Fit
Breathless Bishop	581d ago	Long break
Amazonian	—	—
Dalton Park	—	—
Sawgrass	—	—
Kevano Breeze	—	—
The Cooleen	—	—
Paradise Circus	—	—
Ruby Kendyl	—	—