Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:55

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-22

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 38.50s (slow by 3.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Antiquity (GB) Hayley Turner · Jamie Osborne	6/1	Won
2nd	Jonny Garlic (GB) Cieren Fallon · Michael Keady	11/2	1
3rd	Herkeios (GB) Jonny Peate · James Ferguson	16/1	0.3
4th	Made The Cut (FR) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	12/1	2.5
5th	Freak Encounter (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	100/30F	.75
6th	Specified (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Marco Botti	15/2	0.05
7th	Lady Diesel (GB) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	16/1	2
8th	Take The Boat (IRE) Darragh Keenan · D Donovan	16/1	0.2
9th	Majestic Heights (IRE) Tyrese Cameron · Richard Hannon	17/2	6
10th	Sandhill Dancer (GB) David Probert · Harry Charlton	10/1	4.75
11th	Rumseg (GB) Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison	7/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (7)	Freak Encounter Bay J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	126	b	3347-1	51	65	51	9d	—	—	-2	15.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Made all in a C&D h'cap last week (blinkered first time); this looks tougher under penalty
10 (8)	Jonny Garlic Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Keady	J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Keady	130	—	979-	55	55	45	162d	—	—	-10	6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Modest form in three 6f runs for K Burke as a 2yo; sold 1,000gns in October; best watched
6 (1)	Majestic Heights Bay J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	132	b	5515-3	57	65	51	13d	—	—	-4	8.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won a 7f Brighton nursery in October; two solid AW runs this winter; new headgear today
5 (2)	Specified Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	133	—	2656-8	58	64	62	13d	—	—	-6	5.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran okay upped to a mile last time but she'll need more if she is to break her duck
3 (4)	Rumseg Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	134	b	065-8	59	67	45	13d	—	—	-5	5.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improvement is required but the addition of blinkers could prompt it
2 (3)	Made The Cut Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	135	tp	3487-7	60	70	52	13d	—	—	-4	4.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Late headway from a poor position at Chelmsford last time; headgear now added; unexposed
4 (5)	Herkeios Bay J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	133	b	668-5	58	65	64	11d	—	—	-2	3.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only midfield on his recent handicap debut; up in trip and improvement is required
8 (9)	Take The Boat Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:D Donovan	J:Darragh Keenan T:D Donovan	131	—	4787-	56	62	52	116d	—	—	-3	3.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some promise as a 2yo but her opening mark looks tough; betting to guide
7 (11)	Antiquity Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Jamie Osborne	J:Hayley Turner T:Jamie Osborne	132	—	7768-	57	55	35	39d	—	—	-2	3.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Looks a likely improver now handicapping but his opening mark demands such progress
11 (10)	Sandhill Dancer Bay J:David Probert T:Harry Charlton	J:David Probert T:Harry Charlton	128	—	077-	53	62	54	42d	—	—	-4	2.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Shaped with some promise on third outing; could take a big step forward now handicapping
1 (6)	Lady Diesel Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	135	p	868-	60	64	40	97d	—	—	-1	3.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Steps up in trip for her handicap debut and with cheekpieces added; market to guide
NR (12)	Fiery Angel Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	130	—	94030-	55	-	-	33d	—	—	—	3.4	—	—
Promise on penultimate start but took a backwards step one week later; drawn widest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Freak Encounter	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Jonny Garlic	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Majestic Heights	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1
Specified	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Rumseg	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Made The Cut	8/1	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Herkeios	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Take The Boat	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Antiquity	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Sandhill Dancer	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Lady Diesel	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	14/1
Fiery Angel	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Freak Encounter

15.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Majestic Heights

8.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Jonny Garlic

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Specified

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Rumseg

5.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Made The Cut

4.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Lady Diesel

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Herkeios

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Fiery Angel

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Take The Boat

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Antiquity

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Sandhill Dancer

2.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Made The Cut	60	70	52
Lady Diesel	60	64	40
Rumseg	59	67	45
Specified	58	64	62
Herkeios	58	65	64
Majestic Heights	57	65	51
Antiquity	57	55	35
Take The Boat	56	62	52
Jonny Garlic	55	55	45
Fiery Angel	55	—	—
Sandhill Dancer	53	62	54
Freak Encounter	51	65	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Freak Encounter	9d ago	Quick return
Herkeios	11d ago	Quick return
Majestic Heights	13d ago	Quick return
Specified	13d ago	Quick return
Rumseg	13d ago	Quick return
Made The Cut	13d ago	Quick return
Fiery Angel	33d ago	Fit
Antiquity	39d ago	Fit
Sandhill Dancer	42d ago	Fit
Lady Diesel	97d ago	Long break
Take The Boat	116d ago	Long break
Jonny Garlic	162d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Herkeios	Mid-Pack
Sandhill Dancer	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.