Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:21

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2025-01-23

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Wee Fat Mac Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	133	t	242-32	63	78	67	12d	—	—	-11	9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not easy to win with these days; good C&D runs on last three starts; each-way chance
3 (4)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	134	p	731-25	64	77	68	8d	—	—	-8	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two fair runs since gaining third C&D win last month; 3lb higher; a possible
8 (10)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	130	p	2133-4	60	78	70	13d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below his best last time; in good form before that (won over C&D in December); contender
7 (6)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:Sam England	J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:Sam England	130	—	384-21	60	79	64	13d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form at present, last time beating subsequent winner over C&D; the one to beat
4 (1)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	133	t	886-72	63	80	63	12d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
4-16 on AW; good second over C&D last time to a subsequent winner; a possible
2 (5)	Biplane Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	135	p	1868-3	65	76	62	12d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Turf winner over 6f in July; best run since when third over C&D last time; each-way chance
10 (2)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	v	365-65	57	79	60	13d	—	—	-3	3.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two AW wins last year but he has a bit to find with Sir Maxi on C&D form two weeks ago
9 (3)	Nights Over Egypt Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Jennie Candlish	J:Joey Haynes T:Jennie Candlish	129	p	1015-7	59	79	66	19d	—	—	-1	3.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won over 6f on AW and over 7f on turf in the autumn; lesser runs since; could bounce back
11 (11)	Blackcurrent Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Alan Brown	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Alan Brown	116	v	5724-7	46	79	70	12d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Good C&D 4th two runs back; not so good last time (5f); new headgear; 6f will suit
1 (9)	Howzak Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	135	—	3310-0	65	78	61	22d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Six AW wins, latest over C&D in November; has finish tailed off on both starts since
NR (7)	Green Tax Bay J:TBC T:Adrian Nicholls	J: T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	0/0-9	60	70	-	21d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Modest form, including in a 7f maiden here last time; may improve now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Wee Fat Mac	7/2	10/3	16/5	3/1	7/2
Bellagio Man	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Captain Vallo	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Sir Maxi	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Bella Kopella	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Biplane	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2
Spartan Fighter	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Nights Over Egypt	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Blackcurrent	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Howzak	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Green Tax	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Biplane

9.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

2nd

Wee Fat Mac

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Bellagio Man

8.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Bella Kopella

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Captain Vallo

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Sir Maxi

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Howzak

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Spartan Fighter

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Nights Over Egypt

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Green Tax

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Blackcurrent

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Biplane	65	76	62
Howzak	65	78	61
Bellagio Man	64	77	68
Wee Fat Mac	63	78	67
Bella Kopella	63	80	63
Captain Vallo	60	78	70
Sir Maxi	60	79	64
Green Tax	60	70	—
Nights Over Egypt	59	79	66
Spartan Fighter	57	79	60
Blackcurrent	46	79	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bellagio Man	8d ago	Quick return
Wee Fat Mac	12d ago	Quick return
Bella Kopella	12d ago	Quick return
Biplane	12d ago	Quick return
Blackcurrent	12d ago	Quick return
Captain Vallo	13d ago	Quick return
Sir Maxi	13d ago	Quick return
Spartan Fighter	13d ago	Quick return
Nights Over Egypt	19d ago	Fit
Green Tax	21d ago	Fit
Howzak	22d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.