£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Classified Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:06

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Classified Stakes

Date 2025-01-23

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 59.57s (slow by 2.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stroxx (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	12/1	Won
2nd	Shatin Venture (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Linda Perratt	9/2	4
3rd	John Kirkup (GB) Andrew Mullen · David Thompson	28/1	.5
4th	The Princes Poet (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Ian McInnes	10/1	.75
5th	Henery Hawk (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	18/5F	0.05
6th	Arlington (GB) David Nolan · Bryan Smart	4/1	.5
7th	Spanish Angel (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	5/1	1.25
8th	Stallone (IRE) Faye McManoman · Michael Dods	12/1	0.2
9th	Ben Dikduk (IRE) Jack Garritty · Mark Walford	16/1	1
10th	Borough (GB) Alex Jary · Iain Jardine	18/1	.75
11th	Birdie Bowers (IRE) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	33/1	2.5
12th	Rockley Point (GB) Jake Dickson · Katie Scott	18/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (11)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	135	—	64770-	48	59	51	37d	—	—	-15	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Below par last time but may have needed it after an 11-week break; dangerous at this level
1 (10)	Arlington Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	135	p	1200-2	49	62	51	12d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second in a similar event over C&D 12 days ago; dangerous with a repeat
9 (9)	Spanish Angel Brown J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	p	2958-5	50	63	56	5d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Should be a big force at this level but recent efforts need bettering
8 (4)	Shatin Venture Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	135	—	/465-5	43	54	44	22d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Unexposed maiden; this race is weak and P Mulrennan booked; needs improvement
12 (6)	The Princes Poet Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian McInnes	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian McInnes	135	eb	447-05	44	58	39	13d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Latest handicap fifth wasn't a bad run but others look stronger for win purposes
10 (12)	Stallone Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	135	v	9436-9	47	62	48	12d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two C&D wins in 2024, including this race; sharper for recent run; contender
11 (1)	Stroxx Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	135	b	595-62	46	61	54	8d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Bumped into an interesting sort for the grade last week but has a strike-rate of 1-56
2 (3)	Ben Dikduk Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	135	p	300-66	45	55	41	13d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Recent efforts none too inspiring and dropping back to 5f isn't sure to suit
4 (8)	Borough Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Iain Jardine	135	—	7800-8	47	55	46	12d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Should be making a big impact at this level but slow starts are a recurring theme
6 (7)	John Kirkup Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:David Thompson	J:Andrew Mullen T:David Thompson	135	b	45060-	44	56	11	79d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Poor strike-rate in recent years and out of sorts when last seen; others look safer
7 (2)	Rockley Point Bay J:Jake Dickson(7) T:Katie Scott	J:Jake Dickson(7) T:Katie Scott	135	v	94-385	46	58	49	12d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Veteran who should give his running but doesn't look in the form required to win
3 (5)	Birdie Bowers Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	135	—	0/590-	43	55	-	186d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Losing run stands at 20 and ran poorly when last seen six months ago; risky

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Henery Hawk	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Arlington	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Spanish Angel	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Shatin Venture	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
The Princes Poet	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Stallone	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	8/1
Stroxx	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Ben Dikduk	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Borough	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	25/1
John Kirkup	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Rockley Point	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Birdie Bowers	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arlington

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Henery Hawk

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

3rd

Spanish Angel

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Stallone

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Stroxx

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Shatin Venture

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

The Princes Poet

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ben Dikduk

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Borough

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Rockley Point

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

John Kirkup

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Birdie Bowers

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spanish Angel	50	63	56
Arlington	49	62	51
Henery Hawk	48	59	51
Stallone	47	62	48
Borough	47	55	46
Stroxx	46	61	54
Rockley Point	46	58	49
Ben Dikduk	45	55	41
The Princes Poet	44	58	39
John Kirkup	44	56	11
Shatin Venture	43	54	44
Birdie Bowers	43	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spanish Angel	5d ago	Quick return
Stroxx	8d ago	Quick return
Arlington	12d ago	Quick return
Stallone	12d ago	Quick return
Borough	12d ago	Quick return
Rockley Point	12d ago	Quick return
The Princes Poet	13d ago	Quick return
Ben Dikduk	13d ago	Quick return
Shatin Venture	22d ago	Fit
Henery Hawk	37d ago	Fit
John Kirkup	79d ago	Fresh
Birdie Bowers	186d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.