Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-01-28

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-4yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Treasure Fleet Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	1	-	87	21	21d	—	—	-31	30	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Came from off a slow pace to win decisively over C&D three weeks ago; plenty more to come
5 (7)	Thermal Energy Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Half-brother to two Group 1 winners in Hong Kong; likely type on paper
4 (4)	Pivotal Affair Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	126	—	86-	-	81	67	55d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Shown some promise in two Kempton runs this winter; gelded since latest; needs improvement
3 (2)	Island Hero Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	126	—	7-	-	85	41	32d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Not beaten far over C&D on last month's debut and he's open to improvement
2 (1)	Aqab Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Half-brother to a 1m AW winner; dam a useful and well-connected winner in Germany
6 (6)	Resilient Lady Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	121	—	90-	-	70	36	55d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well beaten in two AW events this winter; hard to recommend
7 (5)	Sister Seagull Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	121	—	0-	-	-	-	40d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
250-1 and tailed off at Chelmsford (1m) last month; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Treasure Fleet	4/11	4/9	4/11	4/11	1/3
Thermal Energy	8/1	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Pivotal Affair	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Island Hero	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Aqab	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Resilient Lady	125/1	125/1	125/1	80/1	100/1
Sister Seagull	250/1	250/1	250/1	150/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Treasure Fleet

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Pivotal Affair

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Thermal Energy

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Island Hero

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Aqab

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Resilient Lady

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Sister Seagull

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Treasure Fleet	—	87	21
Thermal Energy	—	—	—
Pivotal Affair	—	81	67
Island Hero	—	85	41
Aqab	—	—	—
Resilient Lady	—	70	36
Sister Seagull	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Treasure Fleet	21d ago	Fit
Island Hero	32d ago	Fit
Sister Seagull	40d ago	Fit
Pivotal Affair	55d ago	Fresh
Resilient Lady	55d ago	Fresh
Thermal Energy	—	—
Aqab	—	—