Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2025-01-29

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,281

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Trouble Man Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	132	—	21-	77	89	73	46d	—	—	+5	26.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Second on debut before beating some subsequent winners at Wolverhampton (5f); unexposed
11 (1)	Horus Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	125	—	4981-2	70	86	73	15d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On the up in recent starts and suspicion there's more to come; one to take seriously
3 (12)	Camera Shy Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Bell	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Bell	134	—	193-	79	84	56	81d	—	—	+4	19.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Improvement is needed to defy this opening mark and he has the widest stall to overcome
5 (6)	Sergio Parisse Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	132	t	314-7	77	86	55	20d	—	—	0	9.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Flopped when a red-hot favourite at Lingfield three weeks ago; tongue tie now enlisted
8 (5)	Oakley Boy Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Stuart Williams	J:Billy Loughnane T:Stuart Williams	128	v	4612-1	73	86	64	21d	—	—	+10	17.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
121 since a visor was fitted and his form has a solid look to it; should be involved again
1 (10)	Dream Voyage Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	135	h	317-3	80	87	83	20d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Solid return to action at Lingfield this month; more required to defy top weight here
7 (11)	Distant Rumble Chestnut J:George Bass(3) T:Roger Teal	J:George Bass(3) T:Roger Teal	129	—	4823-1	74	89	69	9d	—	—	+11	17.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made a winning h'cap debut over C&D last week; penalty in a better race may find him out
9 (7)	Charmoula Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	128	—	5436-	73	84	31	74d	—	—	+3	9.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Flopped when a hot favourite for AW debut in November; still has some potential
2 (8)	Ardennes Bay J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	135	—	5623-8	80	90	83	20d	—	—	+3	9.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Needs to bounce back from latest Lingfield flop and he's more exposed than many of these
6 (2)	Rock N Roll Rocket Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	129	—	6615-6	74	87	67	20d	—	—	+3	7.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won a 6f nursery at Southwell last month but he's failed to back it up twice since
12 (9)	Cracking Man Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	123	v	70048-	68	88	66	72d	—	—	+2	5.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Inconsistent and hopes rest on a ten-week break and new headgear prompting something extra
10 (3)	Em Four Chestnut J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	127	—	46-16	72	79	59	6d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+4	6.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
6f AW win this month but failed to back it up on last week's handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Trouble Man	11/4	3/1	11/4	5/2	3/1
Horus	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Camera Shy	4/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Sergio Parisse	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Oakley Boy	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Dream Voyage	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Distant Rumble	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Charmoula	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Ardennes	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Rock N Roll Rocket	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Cracking Man	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Em Four	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Trouble Man

26.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Camera Shy

19.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Oakley Boy

17.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Distant Rumble

17.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Horus

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Dream Voyage

12.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Charmoula

9.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sergio Parisse

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ardennes

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rock N Roll Rocket

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Em Four

6.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Cracking Man

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dream Voyage	80	87	83
Ardennes	80	90	83
Camera Shy	79	84	56
Trouble Man	77	89	73
Sergio Parisse	77	86	55
Distant Rumble	74	89	69
Rock N Roll Rocket	74	87	67
Oakley Boy	73	86	64
Charmoula	73	84	31
Em Four	72	79	59
Horus	70	86	73
Cracking Man	68	88	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Em Four	6d ago	Quick return
Distant Rumble	9d ago	Quick return
Horus	15d ago	Fit
Sergio Parisse	20d ago	Fit
Dream Voyage	20d ago	Fit
Ardennes	20d ago	Fit
Rock N Roll Rocket	20d ago	Fit
Oakley Boy	21d ago	Fit
Trouble Man	46d ago	Fresh
Cracking Man	72d ago	Fresh
Charmoula	74d ago	Fresh
Camera Shy	81d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.