Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2025-01-29

Distance 1m7f218y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Alex The Great Grey J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	134	t	393-44	54	66	63	11d	—	—	-15	7.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Largely consistent for current stable; ties in with Shaad; enters calculations
9 (1)	Shaad Bay J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	124	v	2479-2	48	70	63	11d	—	—	-15	13.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Maiden who bounced back to form last time and may have a modest handicap in him
3 (8)	Sophar Sogood Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	136	p	10639-	56	68	56	39d	—	—	-10	12.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Consistent record at Kempton reads 23443113; solid contender back here
5 (6)	Ephyra Bay J:Sean Levey T:David Menuisier	J:Sean Levey T:David Menuisier	134	t	5/009-	58	57	15	38d	—	—	-5	4.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Chance depends on whether she improves for the marked step up in trip
1 (5)	Breccia Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Robert Stephens	J:Richard Kingscote T:Robert Stephens	138	tp	4281-9	58	64	53	19d	—	—	-4	4.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Something was possibly amiss last time; form of Boxing Day win has worked out well
4 (4)	A Tickatickatiming Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	135	—	5577/	55	-	-	—	—	—	-3	3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Bumper/hurdle winner but has unconvincing Flat form (shown in 2023)
7 (2)	Desejada Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:John Butler	J:Lewis Edmunds T:John Butler	127	—	0080-4	47	65	51	15d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Chance of winning depends on whether she improves for the new trip
8 (7)	Invincible Heir Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Karen Jewell	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Karen Jewell	126	p	0P/07-	46	31	-	32d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Handicap debutant who has dismal novice form; headgear fitted
NR (9)	Sullivan Bay Bay J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	138	b	7133-3	58	66	61	18d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Won at Chelmsford on debut for this yard and has remained in form since; respected

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Alex The Great	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1
Shaad	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	15/8
Sophar Sogood	5/2	11/4	11/4	5/2	7/2
Ephyra	8/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Breccia	12/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
A Tickatickatiming	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Desejada	25/1	20/1	20/1	25/1	22/1
Invincible Heir	150/1	100/1	150/1	100/1	150/1
Sullivan Bay	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shaad

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

11/4

2nd

Sophar Sogood

12.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Alex The Great

7.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Sullivan Bay

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Ephyra

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Breccia

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

A Tickatickatiming

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Desejada

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Invincible Heir

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ephyra	58	57	15
Breccia	58	64	53
Sullivan Bay	58	66	61
Sophar Sogood	56	68	56
A Tickatickatiming	55	—	—
Alex The Great	54	66	63
Shaad	48	70	63
Desejada	47	65	51
Invincible Heir	46	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alex The Great	11d ago	Quick return
Shaad	11d ago	Quick return
Desejada	15d ago	Fit
Sullivan Bay	18d ago	Fit
Breccia	19d ago	Fit
Invincible Heir	32d ago	Fit
Ephyra	38d ago	Fit
Sophar Sogood	39d ago	Fit
A Tickatickatiming	—	—