William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

16:45

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Senior Montecristo Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Leigh Roche T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	126	v	9306-2	53	72	62	17d	—	—	-11	13	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Runner-up here over 1m latest, only passed inside the final furlong; big player back at 7f
2 (3)	Brigid's Cloak Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:J P Murtagh	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:J P Murtagh	137	—	66764-	64	73	63	119d	—	—	-10	9.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Close fourth of 14 over C&D in October, short of room late on; each-way player after break
8 (5)	Movin And Groovin Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Nathan Crosse T:Adrian McGuinness	129	—	342-13	56	68	60	17d	—	—	-11	6.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Got off the mark here over 6f and ran well under a 7lb penalty when third over 1m latest
6 (7)	Merchants Arch Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Donagh O'Connor T:Ross O'Sullivan	133	—	97706-	60	67	46	58d	—	—	-12	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Struggled in opening handicaps; better effort here over 1m but the drop in trip won't suit
1 (17)	Lyle The Crocodile Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Anthony Murray	138	—	0963-5	65	68	46	21d	—	—	-6	7.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Unfortunate here over 6f last time as he fly leapt from the stalls & didn't get clear run
5 (6)	Esque Elegance Chestnut J:Jack Kearney(5) T:John C McConnell	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:John C McConnell	133	—	8004-6	60	69	53	17d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	-3	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best effort came on second nursery start when running on well into fourth over C&D
12 (4)	Roaming Eyes Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Rory Cleary T:Ms Sheila Lavery	122	h	00750-	49	78	27	72d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Finished last of 13 on her AW debut; handicapper has taken a chance dropping her 13lb
7 (1)	Eric Lock Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Noel Meade	130	—	00540-	57	68	24	119d	—	—	-1	2.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Good fourth at Down Royal in September but failed to back that up when tailed off over C&D
10 (9)	Hooz In Court Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	123	b	9084-6	50	72	40	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Drop to 6f didn't suit latest; others are more likely but the extra furlong will be a help
4 (12)	Wellwhatshappenin Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(5) T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	J:Keithen Kennedy(5) T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	135	—	000-	62	62	-	106d	—	—	+2	3.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Half-brother to a 5f AW winner but readily passed over on handicap debut; gelded
13 (11)	Hi George Chestnut J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	120	t	9000-	47	62	33	42d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Cheap purchase has beaten a total of three rivals in four career outings; makes no appeal
3 (2)	Alishba b/br J:Conor Orr(3) T:Brian Francis Cawley	J:Conor Orr(3) T:Brian Francis Cawley	136	—	008-	63	61	-	147d	—	—	+2	3.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Only beat two rivals home in three starts for Murtagh; purchased for 2,000euros since
11 (13)	Legendsoftheland Chestnut J:Gary Halpin T:John Andrew Kinsella	J:Gary Halpin T:John Andrew Kinsella	123	tp	99970-	50	65	33	77d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well beaten in some good maidens; failed to get involved in a trio of handicaps to date
14 (14)	Star Allure Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:Ms Claire O'Connell	J:Danny Sheehy T:Ms Claire O'Connell	120	—	0809-8	47	59	50	17d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well beaten in a pair of 6f nurseries around here and no better when upped to 1m latest
NR (15)	Tam Lin Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:James Ryan(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	131	p	7845-5	58	68	58	17d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Consistent enough sort wasn't beaten far here last two outings; respected; reserve
NR (16)	Endless Dawn Bay J:TBC T:Adrian McGuinness	J: T:Adrian McGuinness	124	t	000-44	51	68	59	17d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Travelled well and short of room when fourth here over 1m; enters the discussion; reserve
NR (10)	Clarabell Bay J:TBC T:Adrian Sexton	J: T:Adrian Sexton	129	t	00-879	56	69	44	4d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Tapped for toe over 5f latest but profile fails to enthuse; others more likely; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Senior Montecristo	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Brigid's Cloak	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Movin And Groovin	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Merchants Arch	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Lyle The Crocodile	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1
Esque Elegance	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Roaming Eyes	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Eric Lock	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Hooz In Court	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Wellwhatshappenin	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Hi George	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Alishba	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Legendsoftheland	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Star Allure	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Tam Lin	-	-	-	-	-
Endless Dawn	-	-	-	-	-
Clarabell	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Senior Montecristo

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Brigid's Cloak

9.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Merchants Arch

8.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Lyle The Crocodile

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Movin And Groovin

6.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Esque Elegance

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Alishba

3.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Wellwhatshappenin

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Eric Lock

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Tam Lin

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Roaming Eyes

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Clarabell

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hooz In Court

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Legendsoftheland

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Hi George

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Star Allure

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Endless Dawn

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lyle The Crocodile	65	68	46
Brigid's Cloak	64	73	63
Alishba	63	61	—
Wellwhatshappenin	62	62	—
Merchants Arch	60	67	46
Esque Elegance	60	69	53
Tam Lin	58	68	58
Eric Lock	57	68	24
Movin And Groovin	56	68	60
Clarabell	56	69	44
Senior Montecristo	53	72	62
Endless Dawn	51	68	59
Hooz In Court	50	72	40
Legendsoftheland	50	65	33
Roaming Eyes	49	78	27
Hi George	47	62	33
Star Allure	47	59	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Clarabell	4d ago	Quick return
Senior Montecristo	17d ago	Fit
Movin And Groovin	17d ago	Fit
Esque Elegance	17d ago	Fit
Star Allure	17d ago	Fit
Tam Lin	17d ago	Fit
Endless Dawn	17d ago	Fit
Lyle The Crocodile	21d ago	Fit
Hooz In Court	21d ago	Fit
Hi George	42d ago	Fit
Merchants Arch	58d ago	Fresh
Roaming Eyes	72d ago	Fresh
Legendsoftheland	77d ago	Fresh
Wellwhatshappenin	106d ago	Long break
Brigid's Cloak	119d ago	Long break
Eric Lock	119d ago	Long break
Alishba	147d ago	Long break