William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

18:15

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Date 2025-01-31

Distance 1m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Zipster Bay J:Jack Cleary(5) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Jack Cleary(5) T:Gerard O'Leary	142	—	41824-	75	83	68	102d	—	—	-2	18.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Two wins last year; 1st run for stable that landed a double here two weeks ago; respected
13 (15)	Cousin Shay Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Wayne Lordan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	134	—	010-11	67	74	64	17d	—	—	-8	9.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Comes here in fine form; further 8lb hike combined with a wide draw makes life tougher
4 (11)	Tribal Moon Bay J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	140	tp	0126-1	73	72	53	17d	—	—	+8	18.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual C&D winner effectively only 1lb higher here as Harnett claims 5lb; likes to lead
11 (13)	Nedita Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	135	—	0691-3	68	75	62	17d	—	—	0	10.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D winner won't have the services of 7lb claimer here so has a tough task at the weights
10 (17)	Free Solo Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:P J F Murphy	J:Leigh Roche T:P J F Murphy	135	etb	70-224	68	75	65	4d	—	—	-2	7.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Form closely tied in with Cousin Shay; respectable fourth here on Monday but needs more
1 (4)	Dynamic Force Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(3) T:T G McCourt	142	—	227-45	75	79	47	2d	—	—	-1	8.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Fifth here over 7f on Wednesday; each-way claims eased in grade if turned out quickly
8 (16)	Fivecromwellplace Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:P F McEnery	J:Nathan Crosse T:P F McEnery	138	—	23202-	71	78	54	42d	—	—	+8	17.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Winner here over 7f last March from 13lb lower; has placed six times from 8 starts since
7 (3)	Elegant Madame Bay J:Sam Coen(7) T:Adrian Murray	J:Sam Coen(7) T:Adrian Murray	138	—	52224-	71	78	64	63d	—	—	+7	15.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Stuck to her task well here when fourth over 6f in November; back up in trip should suit
5 (14)	Morning Approach Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:W McCreery	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:W McCreery	139	—	0341-2	72	75	67	17d	—	—	+6	12.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Runner-up to Tribal Moon latest from 9lb higher and she has a 4lb pull in the weights
3 (5)	Punk Poet Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Edward Lynam	J:Chris Hayes T:Edward Lynam	140	—	43508-	73	77	69	44d	—	—	+2	8.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Five wins over C&D; down the field in a hot handicap latest; this is a big drop in class
6 (6)	Comfort Line Grey J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	138	v	2513-7	71	80	55	14d	—	—	+2	6.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Below his best over C&D when last seen but went close when third off this mark last month
9 (1)	Ransom Bay J:J M Sheridan T:P Sweeney	J:J M Sheridan T:P Sweeney	137	t	0097-5	70	81	58	21d	—	—	+2	6.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Well treated on the pick of his older form but he hasn't looked like a winner in waiting
14 (8)	Nika Pika Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Noel C Kelly	J:Killian Leonard T:Noel C Kelly	133	—	278-38	66	71	68	14d	—	—	+1	5.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
3rd over 1m4f here on penultimate start but never a factor here over 7f a fortnight ago
12 (7)	Brains Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	134	tb	9680-9	67	81	65	17d	—	—	+3	4.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Regressive since the summer; has to do much better than recent starts despite falling mark
NR (9)	Miss Abby Jools Bay J:TBC T:Timothy Doyle	J: T:Timothy Doyle	130	—	49826-	63	76	66	65d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Two big runs over C&D since joining this yard; on the shortlist if she gets a run; reserve
NR (12)	Tara Power Bay J:TBC T:Keith Henry Clarke	J: T:Keith Henry Clarke	119	t	86359-	52	78	67	49d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Sole win came over C&D in 2021 and strike-rate of 1-39 is off-putting; reserve
NR (2)	Zero Fighter Bay J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	J:Kyle Faulkner(10) T:E D Delany	119	t	36078-	52	75	54	105d	—	—	—	1.1	—	—
Sole win came in a 7.5f maiden claimer at Roscommon close to two years ago; avoid; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Zipster	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Cousin Shay	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	7/2
Tribal Moon	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Nedita	6/1	8/1	8/1	7/1	15/2
Free Solo	15/2	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dynamic Force	8/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	17/2
Fivecromwellplace	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Elegant Madame	8/1	10/1	10/1	12/1	8/1
Morning Approach	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Punk Poet	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Comfort Line	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Ransom	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Nika Pika	66/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	16/1
Brains	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Miss Abby Jools	-	-	-	-	-
Tara Power	-	-	-	-	-
Zero Fighter	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zipster

18.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Tribal Moon

18.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Fivecromwellplace

17.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Elegant Madame

15.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Morning Approach

12.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Nedita

10.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Cousin Shay

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Dynamic Force

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Punk Poet

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Free Solo

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Miss Abby Jools

6.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Comfort Line

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ransom

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Nika Pika

5.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

66/1

Brains

4.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Tara Power

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Zero Fighter

1.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zipster	75	83	68
Dynamic Force	75	79	47
Tribal Moon	73	72	53
Punk Poet	73	77	69
Morning Approach	72	75	67
Fivecromwellplace	71	78	54
Elegant Madame	71	78	64
Comfort Line	71	80	55
Ransom	70	81	58
Nedita	68	75	62
Free Solo	68	75	65
Cousin Shay	67	74	64
Brains	67	81	65
Nika Pika	66	71	68
Miss Abby Jools	63	76	66
Tara Power	52	78	67
Zero Fighter	52	75	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dynamic Force	2d ago	Quick return
Free Solo	4d ago	Quick return
Comfort Line	14d ago	Fit
Nika Pika	14d ago	Fit
Cousin Shay	17d ago	Fit
Tribal Moon	17d ago	Fit
Nedita	17d ago	Fit
Morning Approach	17d ago	Fit
Brains	17d ago	Fit
Ransom	21d ago	Fit
Fivecromwellplace	42d ago	Fit
Punk Poet	44d ago	Fit
Tara Power	49d ago	Fresh
Elegant Madame	63d ago	Fresh
Miss Abby Jools	65d ago	Fresh
Zipster	102d ago	Long break
Zero Fighter	105d ago	Long break