BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:25

Date 2025-02-01

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £5,670

Winning Time 1m 32.55s (slow by 8.75s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Florida Dawn (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	8/1	Won
2nd	Noble Testimony (FR) Aidan Keeley · Edward Bethell	8/15F	1
3rd	Jamaican Storm (GB) Billy Loughnane · Bryan Smart	9/4	1.75
4th	Call Me Audrey (GB) Andrew Mullen · Rebecca Menzies	50/1	3

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Noble Testimony Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Edward Bethell	J:Aidan Keeley T:Edward Bethell	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-32	16.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
30,000euros yearling by Wooded out of a close relation to a French 7.5f-10.5f winner
2 (1)	Jamaican Storm Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Bryan Smart	J:Billy Loughnane T:Bryan Smart	125	—	372-	75	80	26	53d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-9	22.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Ran badly on second outing but his fair form either side of that makes him the form pick
4 (2)	Florida Dawn Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	118	—	4	-	76	-	9d	—	—	-10	4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Close up for a long way when 4th to odds-on winner in novice at Southwell (1m) 9 days ago
5 (3)	Call Me Audrey Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	116	—	5	-	62	18	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
66-1 when fifth of six in 1m maiden here three weeks ago; lots to find on that modest form
NR (5)	Twilight Diamond Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	149	—	1	-	-	-	14d	—	—	—	10	—	—
8-1 in 4-runner novice at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) two weeks ago but always prominent to win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Noble Testimony	4/5	5/6	4/5	8/11	10/11
Jamaican Storm	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Florida Dawn	8/1	7/1	7/1	8/1	6/1
Call Me Audrey	33/1	25/1	28/1	40/1	25/1
Twilight Diamond	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jamaican Storm

22.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Noble Testimony

16.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

10/11

3rd

Twilight Diamond

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Florida Dawn

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

8/1

Call Me Audrey

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jamaican Storm	75	80	26
Noble Testimony	—	—	—
Florida Dawn	—	76	—
Call Me Audrey	—	62	18
Twilight Diamond	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Florida Dawn	9d ago	Quick return
Twilight Diamond	14d ago	Fit
Call Me Audrey	21d ago	Fit
Jamaican Storm	53d ago	Fresh
Noble Testimony	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Florida Dawn	Prominent
Twilight Diamond	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 5 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.