Trustatrader You Can Trust Our Traders Handicap Hurdle

Kempton

14:50

Date 2025-02-07

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Star Of Affinity Bay J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	164	t	-P1231	106	109	99	20d	—	—	+16	38	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Convincing winner at Taunton last time and has less to prove than many in here
6	The Long Point Grey J:Harry Cobden T:Emma Lavelle	J:Harry Cobden T:Emma Lavelle	165	—	3-144	107	103	83	58d	—	—	+2	22.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Open to progress though this mark looks tough on what he's achieved to date
1	Thunderclap Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Hughie Morrison	J:Jonathan Burke T:Hughie Morrison	170	—	167F-6	112	115	99	15d	—	—	+3	20.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won this last year and ran as though his race 15 days ago would bring him on
4	Bredon Hill Chestnut J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	167	—	84-213	109	109	83	57d	—	—	+6	18.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Still inexperienced when third to a sharp improver on handicap debut at Warwick
8	Sun Joy Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	164	b	1P-P52	106	115	-	94d	—	—	+8	16.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won off 1lb higher just over a year and rediscovered some form on latest chase start
13	Hawk Stone Bay J:James Best T:Harriet Dickin	J:James Best T:Harriet Dickin	160	—	9221-8	102	111	101	22d	—	—	+8	14.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has to rebound from a quiet reappearance but he should be sharper for that
7	Touquet Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	165	h	15-155	107	107	84	53d	—	—	+10	15.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Free-goer; proving his own worst enemy at the minute and others are safer
12	Blairgowrie Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	163	b	/2-PF0	105	-	43	41d	—	—	+13	18.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
After a fall at Ludlow he finished tailed off back over hurdles at Newbury
3	Sirekoff Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	167	t	442109	109	112	100	22d	—	—	+19	22.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Beaten about 20l in his two handicaps on either side of wind surgery
2	Holokea Bay J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	167	—	11615P	109	104	78	37d	—	—	+17	21.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not kicked on from his maiden win and doesn't look on that good a mark for handicap debut
10	Storm Dennis Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	164	—	/566/P	106	-	-	22d	—	—	+10	15.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Well handicapped and a C&D winner but current wellbeing is a major issue
11	Rathmacknee Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Danni O'Neill	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Danni O'Neill	163	p	85-447	105	105	-	172d	—	—	+10	15.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Last win came in a handicap hurdle in late 2022 when with Nicky Henderson
15	Gladiatus Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Richard Rowe	J:Niall Houlihan T:Richard Rowe	145	—	58P/5-	87	-	-	451d	—	—	+8	9.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Low-mileage 9yo who returns from another absence; has too much to prove
NR	Jubilant Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:James Owen	J:Tom Bellamy T:James Owen	166	—	1-233P	108	109	60	61d	—	—	—	21.5	—	—
Useful bumper form; soft ground to blame for disappointing h'cap debut when made favourite
NR	Maxiboy Dagrostis Bay J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Richard Hobson	J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Richard Hobson	158	t	-2073P	100	117	98	15d	—	—	—	14.1	—	—
Tongue-tie now added after he stopped quickly on handicap debut; previous run reads well

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Star Of Affinity	11/4	3/1	11/4
The Long Point	7/2	10/3	10/3
Thunderclap	10/3	7/2	7/2
Bredon Hill	13/2	13/2	6/1
Sun Joy	14/1	12/1	11/1
Hawk Stone	16/1	16/1	14/1
Touquet	20/1	16/1	16/1
Blairgowrie	20/1	18/1	16/1
Sirekoff	25/1	25/1	25/1
Holokea	33/1	25/1	25/1
Storm Dennis	28/1	28/1	25/1
Rathmacknee	33/1	28/1	25/1
Gladiatus	66/1	66/1	66/1
Jubilant	-	-	-
Maxiboy Dagrostis	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Of Affinity

OR: 14 Form: 17.3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

The Long Point

22.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Sirekoff

22.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Jubilant

21.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Holokea

21.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Thunderclap

20.7

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Blairgowrie

18.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Bredon Hill

18.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sun Joy

16.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Touquet

15.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Storm Dennis

15.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

28/1

Rathmacknee

15.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

33/1

Hawk Stone

14.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Maxiboy Dagrostis

14.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 1.6 Odds: 0

—

Gladiatus

9.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thunderclap	112	115	99
Bredon Hill	109	109	83
Sirekoff	109	112	100
Holokea	109	104	78
Jubilant	108	109	60
The Long Point	107	103	83
Touquet	107	107	84
Star Of Affinity	106	109	99
Sun Joy	106	115	—
Storm Dennis	106	—	—
Blairgowrie	105	—	43
Rathmacknee	105	105	—
Hawk Stone	102	111	101
Maxiboy Dagrostis	100	117	98
Gladiatus	87	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunderclap	15d ago	Fit
Maxiboy Dagrostis	15d ago	Fit
Star Of Affinity	20d ago	Fit
Hawk Stone	22d ago	Fit
Sirekoff	22d ago	Fit
Storm Dennis	22d ago	Fit
Holokea	37d ago	Fit
Blairgowrie	41d ago	Fit
Touquet	53d ago	Fresh
Bredon Hill	57d ago	Fresh
The Long Point	58d ago	Fresh
Jubilant	61d ago	Fresh
Sun Joy	94d ago	Long break
Rathmacknee	172d ago	Long break
Gladiatus	451d ago	Long break