trustatrader.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) – Kempton

Kempton

15:25

trustatrader.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Date 2025-02-07

Distance 2m4f110y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £11,618

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Flegmatik Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	159	tb	778453	131	153	131	20d	—	—	+3	32.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Good record at Kempton features three wins and he returns here off a very attractive mark
9	El Rio Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	156	—	6P-113	128	146	132	43d	—	—	+10	23.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran creditably in the novice handicap chase over C&D on Boxing Day; solid and respected
6	Issar d'Airy Bay J:Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	159	p	55-242	131	148	111	55d	—	—	+12	23.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has useful 2m form over fences; gained both hurdles wins at about 2m4f; in the mix
1	Crebilly Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	168	—	127-03	140	149	-	19d	—	—	+16	25.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Runner-up off this mark at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival on most recent 2m4f chase start
4	Lounge Lizard Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Henry Daly	J:Jonathan Burke T:Henry Daly	161	b	521-34	133	143	116	37d	—	—	+15	23	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Suited by sharp/flat tracks and should take well to Kempton; on last winning mark
10	Triple Trade Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	152	t	5-6447	124	149	102	27d	—	—	+12	21.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Defied an 11lb higher mark at Ascot on last attempt at this sort of distance
2	Sans Bruit Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	164	t	3-33P5	136	149	118	19d	—	—	+19	25.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Campaigned mostly at about 2m for current yard; not crying out for step back up in trip
8	Straw Fan Jack Grey J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	158	p	036-89	130	150	118	55d	—	—	+15	21.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not solid on this season's efforts and has failed to win since 2022
5	Galop De Chasse Bay J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	160	—	/1-23P	132	145	120	48d	—	—	+23	29.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Normally consistent but turned in a stinker last time; others preferred
11	Equinus Bay J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	150	—	5344-F	122	-	-	90d	—	—	+17	18.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Early faller at Aintree on stable/chase debut; best watched
NR	Neon Moon Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	162	tb	-31362	134	146	130	51d	—	—	—	31.1	—	—
Largely consistent this term but the great majority of his chase form is at about 3m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Flegmatik	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4
El Rio	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1	13/2
Issar d'Airy	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Crebilly	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Lounge Lizard	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Triple Trade	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sans Bruit	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Straw Fan Jack	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Galop De Chasse	18/1	11/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Equinus	80/1	80/1	80/1	50/1	80/1
Neon Moon	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flegmatik

32.1

OR: 20.3 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Neon Moon

31.1

OR: 21 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Galop De Chasse

29.2

OR: 20.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Sans Bruit

25.5

OR: 21.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Crebilly

25.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Issar d'Airy

23.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

El Rio

23.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Lounge Lizard

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Straw Fan Jack

21.9

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Triple Trade

21.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Equinus

18.5

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crebilly	140	149	—
Sans Bruit	136	149	118
Neon Moon	134	146	130
Lounge Lizard	133	143	116
Galop De Chasse	132	145	120
Flegmatik	131	153	131
Issar d'Airy	131	148	111
Straw Fan Jack	130	150	118
El Rio	128	146	132
Triple Trade	124	149	102
Equinus	122	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crebilly	19d ago	Fit
Sans Bruit	19d ago	Fit
Flegmatik	20d ago	Fit
Triple Trade	27d ago	Fit
Lounge Lizard	37d ago	Fit
El Rio	43d ago	Fit
Galop De Chasse	48d ago	Fresh
Neon Moon	51d ago	Fresh
Issar d'Airy	55d ago	Fresh
Straw Fan Jack	55d ago	Fresh
Equinus	90d ago	Fresh