BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:30

BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes

Date 2025-02-11

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,670

Winning Time 1m 49.20s (slow by 2.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Muddy Mooy (IRE) Edward Greatrex · Paul Attwater	15/8	Won
2nd	Sovereign Sea (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	7/4F	.5
3rd	Nahy (FR) Rossa Ryan · Andrew Balding	9/4	5
4th	Always A Star (GB) Trevor Whelan · Harry Charlton	18/1	.75
5th	Lechuga Lad (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	28/1	0.3
6th	Miss Applejack (GB) Rob Hornby · Charlie Longsdon	66/1	.5
7th	Blackwaterfoot (USA) David Probert · Paul Attwater	28/1	2.25
8th	Fashionelle (IRE) Joe Leavy · Tony Forbes	33/1	.75
9th	Penny's Spirit (IRE) Nicola Currie · Gary Brown	50/1	2.25
10th	Wild Nephin (GB) Finley Marsh · Ryan Potter	250/1	1
11th	Paradise Circus (GB) Cieren Fallon · Joe Tickle	250/1	1.25
12th	Opera King (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	250/1	42

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Sovereign Sea Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	137	—	1-2	85	90	19	32d	—	—	+1	29.6	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Both starts at Newcastle; won readily in November then went close last month; respected
6 (7)	Muddy Mooy Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	130	—	12-	81	93	41	44d	—	—	0	28.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Won at Chelmsford for Barry Brennan, then went close at Southwell; leading player
7 (3)	Nahy Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Andrew Balding	J:Rossa Ryan T:Andrew Balding	130	t	6-4	-	83	45	22d	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Outstayed over 1m3f last time, nevertheless showing ability; frame possibilities
3 (12)	Always A Star Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	130	—	0/	-	-	-	510d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Absent since inauspicious debut 17 months ago
5 (4)	Lechuga Lad Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	130	h	5-4	-	80	40	31d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fared better in a hood last time; possibilities if able to progress further
4 (9)	Blackwaterfoot Bay J:David Probert T:Paul Attwater	J:David Probert T:Paul Attwater	130	—	5-	-	73	37	166d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Midfield in Chelmsford maiden on sole run for Dominic Ffrench Davis
2 (11)	Fashionelle Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Tony Forbes	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Tony Forbes	132	—	6-1	-	67	56	17d	—	—	+8	10.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hurdles winner; beat Miss Applejack in weak event here last month; this is harder
11 (6)	Miss Applejack Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Longsdon	125	—	2	-	68	28	17d	—	—	+3	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Bumper/hurdles winner; second to Fashionelle here on Flat debut (modest form)
12 (2)	Penny's Spirit Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Gary Brown	J:Nicola Currie T:Gary Brown	125	—	4-5	-	74	68	27d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Plenty to find on form; handicaps more suitable shortly
8 (1)	Opera King Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	130	p	—	-	-	-	25d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Completely tailed off at Southwell on Flat debut
9 (10)	Paradise Circus Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Joe Tickle	J:Cieren Fallon T:Joe Tickle	130	—	—	-	52	13	22d	—	—	0	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Duck eggs in bumper and Flat contest
10 (8)	Wild Nephin Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Irish point winner; 0-5 over hurdles; enough to prove on Flat debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sovereign Sea	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	85/40
Muddy Mooy	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8	15/8
Nahy	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
Always A Star	22/1	20/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Lechuga Lad	22/1	20/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Blackwaterfoot	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Fashionelle	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Miss Applejack	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Penny's Spirit	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Opera King	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Paradise Circus	300/1	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1
Wild Nephin	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sovereign Sea

29.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 8.9

85/40

2nd

Muddy Mooy

28.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 12 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Fashionelle

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Nahy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Miss Applejack

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Always A Star

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Lechuga Lad

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Blackwaterfoot

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Penny's Spirit

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Paradise Circus

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Wild Nephin

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Opera King

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sovereign Sea	85	90	19
Muddy Mooy	81	93	41
Nahy	—	83	45
Always A Star	—	—	—
Lechuga Lad	—	80	40
Blackwaterfoot	—	73	37
Fashionelle	—	67	56
Miss Applejack	—	68	28
Penny's Spirit	—	74	68
Opera King	—	—	—
Paradise Circus	—	52	13
Wild Nephin	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fashionelle	17d ago	Fit
Miss Applejack	17d ago	Fit
Nahy	22d ago	Fit
Paradise Circus	22d ago	Fit
Opera King	25d ago	Fit
Penny's Spirit	27d ago	Fit
Lechuga Lad	31d ago	Fit
Sovereign Sea	32d ago	Fit
Muddy Mooy	44d ago	Fit
Blackwaterfoot	166d ago	Long break
Always A Star	510d ago	Long break
Wild Nephin	—	—