bet@racingtv.com Handicap (Div I) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

bet@racingtv.com Handicap (Div I)

Date 2025-02-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Our Dagger Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	J:Oisin Orr T:Daragh Bourke	130	—	0610-1	55	72	-	12d	—	—	-23	29.1	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Swept past the whole field to win at Newcastle; well handicapped off 3lb higher
2 (5)	South Dakota Sioux Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	135	—	5102-1	60	71	60	25d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
After a second here he won comfortably at Wolverhampton; back up 6lb
3 (3)	Stacey Racey Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	134	—	65124-	59	71	61	121d	—	—	0	15.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Usually gives her running at this track and well drawn to get a good position
1 (8)	Zaman Daar Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	135	t	1767-5	60	71	51	9d	—	—	-3	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not had the breaks of late, though slow starts haven't been helping his cause
9 (6)	Regal Glory Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	121	—	5364-5	46	69	52	19d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Had a wide trip last time at Lingfield; better expected and she has form here
6 (4)	The Cola Kid Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Grace Harris	J:Finley Marsh T:Grace Harris	129	tb	77463-	54	71	-	200d	—	—	+1	5.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Capable at this level but finished lame last time and has had a while off the track
4 (7)	Colorada Dancer Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Karen Jewell	J:Charles Bishop T:Karen Jewell	132	—	0048-0	57	69	43	21d	—	—	0	2.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Sliding in the weights but no real sign of him exploiting that leniency
7 (9)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	128	—	1240-0	53	71	66	14d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	1.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has been disappointing on either side of a break in his last two races
8 (2)	Reel Power Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Paddy Butler	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Paddy Butler	123	v	/030-0	48	71	37	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Tailed off in three of his four runs for this yard but did hit the frame here in November

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Our Dagger	8/11	4/6	8/11	8/11	8/11
South Dakota Sioux	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Stacey Racey	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Zaman Daar	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Regal Glory	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
The Cola Kid	25/1	18/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Colorada Dancer	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Blue Collar Lad	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Reel Power	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Our Dagger

29.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

South Dakota Sioux

17.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Stacey Racey

15.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

The Cola Kid

5.1

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Zaman Daar

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Colorada Dancer

2.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Blue Collar Lad

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Regal Glory

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Reel Power

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
South Dakota Sioux	60	71	60
Zaman Daar	60	71	51
Stacey Racey	59	71	61
Colorada Dancer	57	69	43
Our Dagger	55	72	—
The Cola Kid	54	71	—
Blue Collar Lad	53	71	66
Reel Power	48	71	37
Regal Glory	46	69	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zaman Daar	9d ago	Quick return
Our Dagger	12d ago	Quick return
Blue Collar Lad	14d ago	Fit
Regal Glory	19d ago	Fit
Reel Power	19d ago	Fit
Colorada Dancer	21d ago	Fit
South Dakota Sioux	25d ago	Fit
Stacey Racey	121d ago	Long break
The Cola Kid	200d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Stacey Racey	Prominent
Our Dagger	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.