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Kempton (AW)

16:25

Date 2025-02-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 26.98s (slow by 2.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Follow Your Heart (IRE) Warren Fentiman · Mark Loughnane	7/2	Won
2nd	Hieronymus (GB) Jordan Williams · George Baker	8/1	.5
3rd	Brasil Power (FR) Fred Daly · George Boughey	13/2	0.1
4th	Billy Mill (GB) Oliver Searle · Rod Millman	7/1	0.2
5th	Bell Shot (IRE) Kyle McHugh · Michael Appleby	11/1	0.05
6th	Arctician (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Simon Dow	6/1	2
7th	Daring Legend (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Michael Appleby	100/30F	.75
8th	Revolutionise (IRE) Sorin Moldoveanu · Stuart Williams	22/1	1
9th	Vibrato (IRE) Alfie Redman · Jennie Candlish	14/1	.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Follow Your Heart Bay J:Warren Fentiman(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Warren Fentiman(3) T:Mark Loughnane	135	t	8157-2	78	90	68	18d	—	—	-1	17.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Three-time C&D winner who has a fighting chance with Warren Fentiman taking off 3lb
4 (3)	Daring Legend Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) T:Michael Appleby	138	—	139-45	81	87	45	18d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-5	13	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Spoiled chance by taking good hold last time but he is 1-1 under Tom Kiely-Marshall
1 (9)	Brasil Power Bay J:Fred Daly(5) T:George Boughey	J:Fred Daly(5) T:George Boughey	140	tb	20-664	83	90	85	12d	—	—	-4	13.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Three-time C&D scorer who is interesting back at Kempton; Fred Daly takes off handy 5lb
5 (2)	Billy Mill Bay J:Oliver Searle T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle T:Rod Millman	136	—	08-058	79	90	56	18d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	9.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Less reliable since last success; not a solid option at present
8 (6)	Arctician Grey J:Tommie Jakes T:Simon Dow	J:Tommie Jakes T:Simon Dow	131	h	0619-1	74	91	84	23d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D wins in two of last three starts, latest by a short head from Bell Shot; in the mix
9 (7)	Bell Shot Bay J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:Michael Appleby	J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:Michael Appleby	130	p	5634-2	73	92	85	23d	—	—	+5	13.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Could well reverse last-time C&D placings with Arctician, as Kyle McHugh takes off 5lb
2 (1)	Hieronymus Bay J:Jordan Williams T:George Baker	J:Jordan Williams T:George Baker	140	p	08308-	83	89	63	56d	—	—	+4	12.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Four course wins, the most recent last February; inconsistent since
3 (8)	Vibrato Bay J:Alfie Redman(5) T:Jennie Candlish	J:Alfie Redman(5) T:Jennie Candlish	139	—	161-54	82	89	75	34d	—	—	+4	9.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has done his wining on Tapeta; still needs to show he's just as good on Polytrack
7 (4)	Revolutionise Grey J:Sorin Moldoveanu(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Sorin Moldoveanu(5) T:Stuart Williams	132	—	825-06	75	91	74	18d	—	—	+3	7.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has lacked consistency since last win; held by Follow Your Heart on latest effort

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Follow Your Heart	7/2	4/1	18/5	7/2	4/1
Daring Legend	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	10/3
Brasil Power	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Billy Mill	8/1	17/2	9/1	15/2	9/1
Arctician	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	17/2
Bell Shot	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Hieronymus	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Vibrato	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Revolutionise	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arctician

18.5

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Follow Your Heart

17.2

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Brasil Power

13.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Bell Shot

13.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Daring Legend

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Hieronymus

12.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Billy Mill

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Vibrato

9.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Revolutionise

7.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brasil Power	83	90	85
Hieronymus	83	89	63
Vibrato	82	89	75
Daring Legend	81	87	45
Billy Mill	79	90	56
Follow Your Heart	78	90	68
Revolutionise	75	91	74
Arctician	74	91	84
Bell Shot	73	92	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brasil Power	12d ago	Quick return
Follow Your Heart	18d ago	Fit
Daring Legend	18d ago	Fit
Billy Mill	18d ago	Fit
Revolutionise	18d ago	Fit
Arctician	23d ago	Fit
Bell Shot	23d ago	Fit
Vibrato	34d ago	Fit
Hieronymus	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.