Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

4:20

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2025-02-12

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (10)	Cut To The Chase b J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	135	—	013-11	65	78	68	25d	—	—	-22	16.3	5/4 44%
Could easily defy another 6lb rise with new track and return to further both likely okay
5 (1)	Soames Forsyte b J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	134	tp	773-13	64	80	62	13d	—	—	-8	7.9	9/2 18%
Solid option having won and finished third over C&D this year
11 (3)	Pembrokeshire b J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	127	h	85557-	57	78	-	121d	—	—	-9	6.2	9/2 18%
Market informative starting out for Mick Appleby off 121-day break
9 (5)	Turbo Command gr J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	131	—	3390-4	61	79	63	19d	—	—	-2	4.7	12/1 8%
Thrives off an honest pace and a few of these like to get on with it; interesting
8 (7)	Jump The Gun b J:Robert Havlin T:Iain Jardine	J:Robert Havlin T:Iain Jardine	133	p	088-05	63	71	56	19d	—	—	-3	5.5	12/1 8%
In the doldrums and C&D fifth 19 days ago wasn't enough of a revival
4 (2)	Emily Post b J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Dods	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Dods	135	h	420-76	65	78	65	18d	—	—	-1	5.5	14/1 7%
Hard to fancy on balance but does at least drop into a 0-65 for the first time
2 (9)	Aram b J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	135	—	0746-4	65	75	-	29d	—	—	+1	5	18/1 5%
Considered if market vibes are more positive on second start for Karl Burke
1 (4)	Miss Sunset Strip b J:Adam Farragher T:Lemos De Souza	J:Adam Farragher T:Lemos De Souza	135	b	17208-	65	74	57	60d	—	—	+6	9.1	28/1 3%
Can't be supported on what's been seen away from Chelmsford
7 (8)	Royal Jet ch J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	133	—	1/600-	63	73	41	55d	—	—	+8	11	28/1 3%
New yard likely to find the key to him but Cut To The Chase looks their main hope in this
10 (6)	Exceed Now b J:Aidan Keeley T:Mark Walford	J:Aidan Keeley T:Mark Walford	130	—	/4480-	60	78	23	161d	—	—	+1	3	66/1 1%
Hard to fancy on what's been seen for new yard in his two handicaps; now gelded; up to 7f
NR (11)	H Key Lails gr J:David Probert T:Michael Attwater	J:David Probert T:Michael Attwater	134	v	2231-4	64	75	69	23d	—	—	—	3.5	—
Dominating this field from the widest stall won't be easy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cut To The Chase	5/4	6/5	5/4	5/4	5/4
Soames Forsyte	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Pembrokeshire	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Turbo Command	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Jump The Gun	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Emily Post	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Aram	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Miss Sunset Strip	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Royal Jet	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Exceed Now	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
H Key Lails	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cut To The Chase

16.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Royal Jet

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

28/1

3rd

Miss Sunset Strip

9.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Soames Forsyte

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Pembrokeshire

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Jump The Gun

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Emily Post

5.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Aram

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Turbo Command

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

H Key Lails

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Exceed Now

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cut To The Chase Top Rated	65	78	68
Emily Post	65	78	65
Aram	65	75	—
Miss Sunset Strip	65	74	57
Soames Forsyte	64	80	62
H Key Lails	64	75	69
Jump The Gun	63	71	56
Royal Jet	63	73	41
Turbo Command	61	79	63
Exceed Now	60	78	23
Pembrokeshire	57	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Soames Forsyte	13d ago	Quick return
Emily Post	18d ago	Fit
Turbo Command	19d ago	Fit
Jump The Gun	19d ago	Fit
H Key Lails	23d ago	Fit
Cut To The Chase	25d ago	Fit
Aram	29d ago	Fit
Royal Jet	55d ago	Fresh
Miss Sunset Strip	60d ago	Fresh
Pembrokeshire	121d ago	Long break
Exceed Now	161d ago	Long break