BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (Group 3) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:15

BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2025-02-22

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £56,710

Winning Time 2m 23.14s (slow by 4.24s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Champion (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	6/4J	Won
2nd	Military Academy (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	6/4J	1.75
3rd	Persica (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	17/2	4
4th	Champagne Prince (GB) William Buick · Jane Chapple-Hyam	9/2	2
5th	Pleasant Man (GB) Hollie Doyle · Martin Dunne	150/1	2.75
6th	Claymore (FR) Jonny Peate · Jane Chapple-Hyam	150/1	2
7th	Alanya (FR) David Egan · Miss Natalia Lupini	80/1	6.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Royal Champion Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	129	—	/6201-	113	127	108	53d	—	—	+2	40.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Classy performer; won well on his stable debut at Lingfield in December; high on the list
5 (5)	Military Academy Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	p	1121-	109	126	111	110d	—	—	+18	44.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Improved with each start in 2024; still unexposed; gelded; tried in headgear; big player
4 (1)	Champagne Prince Grey Roan J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	6121-1	107	120	86	22d	—	—	+12	29.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Five wins and a 2nd from six AW runs; others have stronger form but he's progressing fast
6 (2)	Persica Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	01318-	110	126	-	126d	—	—	+19	29.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three wins in 2024, notably an Ayr Listed event in September; promise on AW; should stay
7 (6)	Alanya Bay J:David Egan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:David Egan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	126	—	66468-	94	112	-	134d	—	—	+10	11.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Makes stable debut in warm race & significant improvement is required; promise on AW at 3
1 (4)	Claymore Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	129	—	636-93	97	115	98	22d	—	—	+11	12	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Still capable of useful form but nearly 6l behind Champagne Prince here last month
2 (3)	Pleasant Man Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	J:Hollie Doyle T:Martin Dunne	129	p	057-21	82	98	77	22d	—	—	+7	8.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
1m6f win here three weeks ago but in a Class 4 h'cap over 1m6f; tough task on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Royal Champion	6/5	11/8	5/4	6/5	6/5
Military Academy	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4
Champagne Prince	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Persica	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Alanya	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Claymore	125/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
Pleasant Man	300/1	125/1	200/1	100/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Military Academy

44.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 21.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Royal Champion

40.8

OR: 15.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 12.5

11/8

3rd

Persica

29.6

OR: 15 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Champagne Prince

29.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

Claymore

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Alanya

11.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Pleasant Man

8.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Champion	113	127	108
Persica	110	126	—
Military Academy	109	126	111
Champagne Prince	107	120	86
Claymore	97	115	98
Alanya	94	112	—
Pleasant Man	82	98	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Champagne Prince	22d ago	Fit
Claymore	22d ago	Fit
Pleasant Man	22d ago	Fit
Royal Champion	53d ago	Fresh
Military Academy	110d ago	Long break
Persica	126d ago	Long break
Alanya	134d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.