"European Road To The Kentucky Derby" Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2025-02-26

Distance 1m

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £30,924

Winning Time 1m 38.16s (slow by 0.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Opera Ballo (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	11/10F	Won
2nd	Hott Shott (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	28/1	4
3rd	Saddadd (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	7/2	1
4th	Quai De Bethune (FR) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	11/4	0.3
5th	Molveno (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	14/1	1.75
6th	Olympus Point (IRE) James Doyle · Charlie Appleby	20/1	2.5

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Opera Ballo Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	1	-	102	46	28d	—	—	-23	27.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
600,000euros buy; 4-9 favourite, quickened to win C&D maiden by 8.5l on debut last month
5 (5)	Quai De Bethune Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	3-1	-	103	68	28d	—	—	-2	17.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Confirmed promise shown in one 2yo start when odds-on winner of C&D maiden on reappearance
6 (6)	Saddadd Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	1-	-	98	65	74d	—	—	-2	15	1.25/1	5/1 17%
8-15 favourite when quickening to win 1m Southwell novice in December on debut
2 (1)	Molveno Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	133	t	031-11	88	97	89	25d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has won last three starts, two of them over C&D, but he's up from Class 4 handicap company
3 (2)	Olympus Point Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	23212-	90	100	-	137d	—	—	+23	27.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Useful 7f-1m turf form last year; likely still has more to give; stable second string
1 (4)	Hott Shott Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	3151-	94	98	86	133d	—	—	+25	27.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Useful 2yo including winning 7f novice here when last seen in October; should stay

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Opera Ballo	4/5	5/6	5/6	4/6	8/11
Quai De Bethune	7/2	10/3	7/2	4/1	7/2
Saddadd	4/1	7/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Molveno	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Olympus Point	22/1	18/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Hott Shott	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Olympus Point

27.6

OR: 10 Form: 16.4 Odds: 1.2

22/1

2nd

Hott Shott

27.5

OR: 11 Form: 15.9 Odds: 0.6

33/1

3rd

Opera Ballo

27.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 17.1

5/6

Quai De Bethune

17.8

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Saddadd

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

5/1

Molveno

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hott Shott	94	98	86
Olympus Point	90	100	—
Molveno	88	97	89
Opera Ballo	—	102	46
Quai De Bethune	—	103	68
Saddadd	—	98	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Molveno	25d ago	Fit
Opera Ballo	28d ago	Fit
Quai De Bethune	28d ago	Fit
Saddadd	74d ago	Fresh
Hott Shott	133d ago	Long break
Olympus Point	137d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.