Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:20

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-02-27

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	t	324354	75	86	69	7d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-4	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Scored over C&D in October on most recent Class 5 attempt; consistent since
3 (6)	Castan Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	134	p	44-611	74	85	78	13d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-5	10.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two from two since wearing cheekpieces; recorded the latest win over C&D; respected
8 (9)	Maharajas Express Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Ian Williams	J:Tom Marquand T:Ian Williams	127	p	-24411	67	85	76	3d	—	—	+10	27.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Incurs 5lb penalty for narrow win on Monday but has to be feared in current form
10 (2)	Oriental Prince Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	120	h	51-121	60	87	79	48d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has done very well at Newcastle since wearing a hood; could improve further
4 (3)	Above Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	134	tp	3-2123	74	89	77	14d	—	—	0	11.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent this winter but some of these rivals have better recent strike-rates
2 (10)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	134	p	43-643	74	86	74	27d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-1	8.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Largely consistent at this track since returned to AW; frame possibilities
6 (7)	General Assembly Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Jack Morland	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Jack Morland	130	—	4979-8	70	85	52	22d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Sole attempt over 5f resulted in his only win; interesting back at this trip
5 (4)	Leodis Dream Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	130	—	5413-3	70	88	77	23d	—	—	+3	9.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D success in October; solid third here this month on reappearance
7 (8)	Match Play Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	127	—	1898-5	67	85	57	23d	—	—	0	6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Still seeking first AW win but ran respectably over C&D on reappearance
9 (1)	Golden Rainbow Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	123	t	5815-9	63	85	82	13d	—	—	+2	3.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
All C&D wins in Class 6; down the field in this grade two weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dark Kestrel	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Castan	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Maharajas Express	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Oriental Prince	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	11/2
Above	7/1	6/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Our Absent Friends	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
General Assembly	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Leodis Dream	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Match Play	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Golden Rainbow	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maharajas Express

27.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 18 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Dark Kestrel

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Above

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Castan

10.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Leodis Dream

9.7

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Our Absent Friends

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

General Assembly

7.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Oriental Prince

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Match Play

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Golden Rainbow

3.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dark Kestrel	75	86	69
Castan	74	85	78
Above	74	89	77
Our Absent Friends	74	86	74
General Assembly	70	85	52
Leodis Dream	70	88	77
Maharajas Express	67	85	76
Match Play	67	85	57
Golden Rainbow	63	85	82
Oriental Prince	60	87	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Maharajas Express	3d ago	Quick return
Dark Kestrel	7d ago	Quick return
Castan	13d ago	Quick return
Golden Rainbow	13d ago	Quick return
Above	14d ago	Fit
General Assembly	22d ago	Fit
Leodis Dream	23d ago	Fit
Match Play	23d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	27d ago	Fit
Oriental Prince	48d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.