William Hill Proper Pricing Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

20:30

William Hill Proper Pricing Handicap

Date 2025-03-07

Distance 1m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Volatile Analyst Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Stephen Thorne	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Stephen Thorne	142	tb	45-121	87	86	69	7d	—	—	-8	16.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Resurgent of late off reduced mark; needs to step up again off highest mark in 18 months
9 (9)	Little Empire Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony McCann	J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony McCann	126	—	U024-2	71	89	82	14d	—	—	-4	16	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Recent comeback third over 7f; barely gets 1m but could go well here if pace not too hot
10 (4)	Comfort Line Grey J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	125	v	13-762	70	96	70	21d	—	—	-9	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Exposed but recent claiming second a strong run; definite claims
2 (5)	Mythical Rock Brown J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	131	—	4033-3	76	91	61	23d	—	—	-2	13.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beaten odds-on favourite in recent C&D maiden; may not much scope off this mark
5 (7)	Morning Approach Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	127	—	341-24	72	87	79	35d	—	—	-2	8.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ran well from a bad draw latest; should be thereabouts
4 (6)	Enough Already Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian McGuinness	127	—	01453-	72	88	79	77d	—	—	+5	13.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Stays much further but recent C&D effort augurs well
6 (2)	Tribal Moon Bay J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	127	tb	26-109	72	85	66	21d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual C&D winner over the winter but recent form leaves questions to answer
7 (8)	Church Mountain Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	126	tp	6117-5	71	87	83	23d	—	—	+2	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dual 1m2f winner in October but held since; drops in trip now
3 (3)	Albion Power Brown J:Seamie Heffernan T:Keith Henry Clarke	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Keith Henry Clarke	128	—	0047-1	73	88	65	14d	—	—	+13	16.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Recent maiden winner for whom 11lb rise for that makes this tough on handicap return
8 (10)	El Bello Grey J:Killian Leonard T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Killian Leonard T:Denis Gerard Hogan	126	—	7020-8	71	87	51	7d	—	—	+4	5.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Best form at 7f; recent comeback run leaves him with plenty to find

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Volatile Analyst	3/1	3/1	3/1
Little Empire	10/3	10/3	10/3
Comfort Line	4/1	7/2	7/2
Mythical Rock	6/1	11/2	11/2
Morning Approach	9/1	8/1	8/1
Enough Already	8/1	9/1	9/1
Tribal Moon	16/1	16/1	16/1
Church Mountain	28/1	20/1	22/1
Albion Power	28/1	25/1	25/1
El Bello	100/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Albion Power

16.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

2nd

Volatile Analyst

16.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Little Empire

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Mythical Rock

13.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Enough Already

13.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 6 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Comfort Line

10.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Morning Approach

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Tribal Moon

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Church Mountain

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

El Bello

5.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volatile Analyst	87	86	69
Mythical Rock	76	91	61
Albion Power	73	88	65
Morning Approach	72	87	79
Enough Already	72	88	79
Tribal Moon	72	85	66
Little Empire	71	89	82
Church Mountain	71	87	83
El Bello	71	87	51
Comfort Line	70	96	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Volatile Analyst	7d ago	Quick return
El Bello	7d ago	Quick return
Little Empire	14d ago	Fit
Albion Power	14d ago	Fit
Comfort Line	21d ago	Fit
Tribal Moon	21d ago	Fit
Mythical Rock	23d ago	Fit
Church Mountain	23d ago	Fit
Morning Approach	35d ago	Fit
Enough Already	77d ago	Fresh