Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Classified Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Classified Stakes

Date 2025-03-10

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (9)	Shatin Venture Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	135	—	65-524	43	52	44	34d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Nine-race maiden but has shown promise, including over C&D; each-way shout
1 (7)	Bernie The Bear Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	135	b	772653	47	58	44	3d	—	—	-9	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-24 for Linda Perratt; placed in a similar race over 7f here on Friday; 5f the worry
11 (3)	Tommytwohoots Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	135	p	2-4373	48	58	55	11d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Solid efforts in defeat here this winter; should go well back at 5f
6 (2)	Phoenix Star Bay J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	J:George Wood T:Jessica Macey	135	v	9-3468	49	58	47	19d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not at very best this winter but drops into 0-50 company for the first time; visored today
7 (8)	Rockley Point Bay J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	135	b	440852	44	58	50	4d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Capable on his good days, as when second over C&D last week; inconsistent now though
5 (4)	Kipp Kelly Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	135	—	90-053	48	59	49	26d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
More encouragement dropped to this grade the last twice; each-way shout again
4 (1)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	135	—	0-5889	43	47	40	13d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well short of his best so far this winter; no obvious reason to expect better tonight
10 (5)	Stallone Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	135	v	853776	46	55	48	4d	—	—	-4	2.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at very best this winter but conditions fine and he's not discounted at this level
3 (6)	Golden Prosperity Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	135	—	19658-	47	56	35	180d	—	—	0	2.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor strike-rate but this is his grade; best watched after 6-month break with no headgear
2 (10)	Birdie Bowers Bay J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	135	—	590-09	40	51	24	30d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only one effort of note since 2023; others bring more pressing claims
8 (11)	Safio's Princess Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	135	b	56-508	33	40	32	11d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form in six starts over further; not easily recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shatin Venture	3/1	10/3	16/5	3/1	3/1
Bernie The Bear	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Tommytwohoots	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Phoenix Star	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Rockley Point	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Kipp Kelly	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Henery Hawk	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Stallone	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Golden Prosperity	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Birdie Bowers	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Safio's Princess	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bernie The Bear

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Rockley Point

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Tommytwohoots

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Shatin Venture

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Phoenix Star

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Stallone

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Golden Prosperity

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Kipp Kelly

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Henery Hawk

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Birdie Bowers

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Safio's Princess

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phoenix Star	49	58	47
Tommytwohoots	48	58	55
Kipp Kelly	48	59	49
Bernie The Bear	47	58	44
Golden Prosperity	47	56	35
Stallone	46	55	48
Rockley Point	44	58	50
Shatin Venture	43	52	44
Henery Hawk	43	47	40
Birdie Bowers	40	51	24
Safio's Princess	33	40	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bernie The Bear	3d ago	Quick return
Rockley Point	4d ago	Quick return
Stallone	4d ago	Quick return
Tommytwohoots	11d ago	Quick return
Safio's Princess	11d ago	Quick return
Henery Hawk	13d ago	Quick return
Phoenix Star	19d ago	Fit
Kipp Kelly	26d ago	Fit
Birdie Bowers	30d ago	Fit
Shatin Venture	34d ago	Fit
Golden Prosperity	180d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.