Hexham

14:22

Paxton's Are Case IH's No1 Dealer Handicap Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)

Date 2025-03-13
Distance 2m4f15y
Class Class 5
Going Good To Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 5yo+
Prize £5,255

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
1
Konfusion
Chestnut
J:Peter Kavanagh(3)
T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
J:Peter Kavanagh(3)
T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
168 88-331
100
113
72
15d -18
27.5
10/11
52%
Won on second chase start last time; 8lb higher but 3lb well in; should go well again
5
Diamond Mix
Bay
J:Ryan Mania
T:Paul Robson
J:Ryan Mania
T:Paul Robson
161 945572
93
111
97
28d +8
18.8
9/1
10%
Career-best when runner-up on 2nd chase start latest (form sound); up in trip; contender
6
Low Mileage
Bay
J:Edward Austin(5)
T:George Bewley
J:Edward Austin(5)
T:George Bewley
160 tp 0-0P32
92
109
98
25d +4
13
10/1
9%
0-18 but sound efforts in cheekpieces last twice, latest over 2m4f; interesting
3
Halpha Soleil
Chestnut
J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3)
T:Micky Hammond
J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3)
T:Micky Hammond
164 418554
96
108
91
15d +8
15.7
11/1
8%
Course winner over hurdles; fair form chasing (behind Konfusion latest); each-way chance
8
Lewa House
Bay
J:Bruce Lynn
T:Catch Bissett
J:Bruce Lynn
T:Catch Bissett
145 p 3-6662
77
-
-
30d +3
11
10/1
9%
1-22 over hurdles; good second after a wind op last time; best watched on chase debut
7
Divas Doyen
Bay
J:Miss Heidi Palin(7)
T:Sandy Forster
J:Miss Heidi Palin(7)
T:Sandy Forster
151 p 812244
83
112
94
25d +9
16.2
14/1
7%
Carlisle winner in November; not run as well since but this stiff track will suit her
2
Shadows In The Sky
Brown
J:Danny McMenamin
T:Chris Grant
J:Danny McMenamin
T:Chris Grant
166 tv 55415P
98
104
91
71d +11
17.4
14/1
7%
Two chase wins over C&D last year (good); these conditions suit; worth considering
4
Fia Fuinidh
Bay
J:Henry Brooke
T:Martin Todhunter
J:Henry Brooke
T:Martin Todhunter
163 -22555
95
111
100
28d +10
15.4
16/1
6%
Two good seconds in the autumn; not as good since and has stamina to prove back over 2m4f
10
Billable Grant
Bay
J:Ross Chapman
T:Jackie Stephen
J:Ross Chapman
T:Jackie Stephen
144 0P0475
76
95
-
25d +3
7.7
22/1
4%
Ex-Irish; maiden hurdle winner in 2022; well beaten both chase attempts
9
Cudgel
Bay
J:Conor O'Farrell
T:James Walton
J:Conor O'Farrell
T:James Walton
144 tp -6383P
76
110
92
41d +4
9.4
25/1
4%
Six course wins; not been in top form recently and this looks a decent race for the grade
11
Derracrin
Chestnut
J:Lorcan Murtagh
T:Barry Murtagh
J:Lorcan Murtagh
T:Barry Murtagh
142 5/1P-P
74
-
-
24d +5
6.4
80/1
1%
C&D winner in May 2023; pulled up both starts since, latest after a long break
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Konfusion
evn evn evn 5/6 10/11
Diamond Mix
8/1 15/2 8/1 9/1 8/1
Low Mileage
9/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 9/1
Halpha Soleil
11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Lewa House
9/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
Divas Doyen
12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 12/1
Shadows In The Sky
12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 14/1
Fia Fuinidh
16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1
Billable Grant
22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1
Cudgel
25/1 22/1 22/1 16/1 20/1
Derracrin
80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Konfusion
27.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15
10/11
2nd Diamond Mix
18.8
OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1
9/1
3rd Shadows In The Sky
17.4
OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9
14/1
4 Divas Doyen
16.2
OR: 8.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9
14/1
5 Halpha Soleil
15.7
OR: 11.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2
11/1
6 Fia Fuinidh
15.4
OR: 11.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6
16/1
7 Low Mileage
13
OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
10/1
8 Lewa House
11
OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1
10/1
9 Cudgel
9.4
OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4
25/1
10 Billable Grant
7.7
OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22/1
11 Derracrin
6.4
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
80/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Konfusion
100
113
72
Shadows In The Sky
98
104
91
Halpha Soleil
96
108
91
Fia Fuinidh
95
111
100
Diamond Mix
93
111
97
Low Mileage
92
109
98
Divas Doyen
83
112
94
Lewa House
77
Billable Grant
76
95
Cudgel
76
110
92
Derracrin
74

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Konfusion 15d ago Fit
Halpha Soleil 15d ago Fit
Derracrin 24d ago Fit
Low Mileage 25d ago Fit
Divas Doyen 25d ago Fit
Billable Grant 25d ago Fit
Diamond Mix 28d ago Fit
Fia Fuinidh 28d ago Fit
Lewa House 30d ago Fit
Cudgel 41d ago Fit
Shadows In The Sky 71d ago Fresh