Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies)

Newbury

14:00

Date 2025-04-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £48,204

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (5)	Mountain Breeze Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	228-11	103	114	100	42d	—	—	-1	19	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Solid record on British soil; couple of ready wins at Meydan this year; major contender
15 (6)	Simmering Bay J:Christophe Soumillon T:Ollie Sangster	J:Christophe Soumillon T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	21124-	111	121	107	188d	—	—	+14	33.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Did well as a 2yo; made the frame in Group 1 events the last twice; top on ratings
2 (14)	Bright Times Ahead Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	1-	-	105	90	161d	—	—	-2	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ready winner at Newmarket; promising filly whose trainer has landed this race five times
10 (3)	Heavens Gate Bay J:Sean Levey T:A P O'Brien	J:Sean Levey T:A P O'Brien	128	—	31410-	107	118	102	162d	—	—	+16	28.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ballydoyle filly who has Group form, notably Curragh success in sole 7f attempt; solid
8 (4)	Formal Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	h	114-	93	102	63	197d	—	—	+16	25.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Disappointing on final start for Sir Michael Stoute; 2-2 previously and not written off
16 (15)	Time For Sandals Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry Eustace	J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry Eustace	128	—	132-	105	111	97	233d	—	—	+21	27.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Went close in the Super Sprint (here) and Lowther; possibilities, provided she stays 7f
4 (1)	California Dreamer Bay J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	128	—	2347-1	103	113	92	50d	—	—	+19	25	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Consistent sort who had plenty of Group form last year but is comparatively exposed
5 (11)	Duty First Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	128	—	4123-	96	107	88	197d	—	—	+20	24.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Rockfel third; something to find on ratings and needs to have done well over the winter
12 (7)	Maw Lam Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Nicholls	128	—	35392-	99	109	103	203d	—	—	+17	20.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has Group form but is 0-6 since debut win; not sure to improve much this year
9 (13)	Greydreambeliever Grey J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	128	—	15-2	93	102	97	17d	—	—	+14	16.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
New trip needs to prompt improvement; has something to find on her 6f figures
11 (8)	Hey Boo Bay J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	128	h	11	81	92	-	30d	—	—	+23	25.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two from two (on AW) but has a mountain to climb on ratings upped in class
6 (12)	Ellaria Sand Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	3951-4	96	109	88	14d	—	—	+10	12.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Listed win over C&D in last turf outing but faces a stiffer task at this level
3 (16)	British Blue Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	1-	-	88	-	164d	—	—	+9	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
The form of her narrow win at Kempton is a long way short of Group standard
1 (10)	Betty Clover Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	18284-	97	107	90	211d	—	—	+15	16.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Neck behind Simmering at Ascot but failed to back up that form in two subsequent runs
7 (9)	Enola Holmes Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	128	—	5-124	86	99	51	38d	—	—	+8	9.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Campaigned on AW this year; faces a difficult assignment back on turf
NR (2)	Nardra Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	128	—	1-	-	103	-	197d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Powered clear in Haydock contest; fits into the could-be-anything category; interesting

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mountain Breeze	3/1	3/1	-
Simmering	10/3	10/3	-
Bright Times Ahead	9/2	9/2	-
Heavens Gate	6/1	11/2	-
Formal	10/1	9/1	-
Time For Sandals	12/1	12/1	-
California Dreamer	14/1	12/1	-
Duty First	25/1	25/1	-
Maw Lam	40/1	33/1	-
Greydreambeliever	40/1	40/1	-
Hey Boo	33/1	33/1	-
Ellaria Sand	50/1	50/1	-
British Blue	50/1	50/1	-
Betty Clover	66/1	50/1	-
Enola Holmes	125/1	100/1	-
Nardra	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Simmering

33.5

OR: 15.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Heavens Gate

28.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Time For Sandals

27.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Hey Boo

25.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 17 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Formal

25.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.5

10/1

California Dreamer

OR: 13.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Duty First

24.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Maw Lam

20.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Mountain Breeze

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Betty Clover

16.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Greydreambeliever

16.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bright Times Ahead

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

Ellaria Sand

12.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

British Blue

10.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Nardra

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Enola Holmes

9.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Simmering	111	121	107
Heavens Gate	107	118	102
Time For Sandals	105	111	97
Mountain Breeze	103	114	100
California Dreamer	103	113	92
Maw Lam	99	109	103
Betty Clover	97	107	90
Duty First	96	107	88
Ellaria Sand	96	109	88
Formal	93	102	63
Greydreambeliever	93	102	97
Enola Holmes	86	99	51
Hey Boo	81	92	—
Bright Times Ahead	—	105	90
British Blue	—	88	—
Nardra	—	103	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ellaria Sand	14d ago	Fit
Greydreambeliever	17d ago	Fit
Hey Boo	30d ago	Fit
Enola Holmes	38d ago	Fit
Mountain Breeze	42d ago	Fit
California Dreamer	50d ago	Fresh
Bright Times Ahead	161d ago	Long break
Heavens Gate	162d ago	Long break
British Blue	164d ago	Long break
Simmering	188d ago	Long break
Formal	197d ago	Long break
Duty First	197d ago	Long break
Nardra	197d ago	Long break
Maw Lam	203d ago	Long break
Betty Clover	211d ago	Long break
Time For Sandals	233d ago	Long break