Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) – Newmarket

Newmarket

2:20

Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares)

Date 2025-05-04

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £70,888

Runners (5)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Cinderella's Dream b J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	7112-2	114	128	99	72d	—	—	-2	31.6	6/4 40%
Solid performer whose record is 111171122; unlucky at the Breeders' Cup two starts ago
4 (5)	Running Lion gr J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	28172-	114	129	100	210d	—	—	+9	35	9/4 31%
Creditable second in this race last year; took her form to a new level later in 2024
3 (3)	Elmalka b J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	128	—	31444-	112	125	105	211d	—	—	+3	25.8	3/1 25%
Won last year's 1,000 Guineas on sole start under Silvestre De Sousa; drops back in grade
1 (4)	Beautiful Love ch J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Appleby	J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	6134-6	113	127	-	99d	—	—	+11	17.7	12/1 8%
Smart but is deserted by William Buick in this first British assignment for 18 months
5 (2)	Secret Satire b J:Rossa Ryan T:Andrew Balding	J:Rossa Ryan T:Andrew Balding	128	—	/3105-	104	118	99	302d	—	—	+16	20.6	25/1 4%
Absent since US Grade 1 defeat behind Cinderella's Dream ten months ago; tough task

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cinderella's Dream	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Running Lion	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	85/40
Elmalka	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Beautiful Love	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Secret Satire	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Running Lion

OR: 16 Form: 11 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Cinderella's Dream

31.6

OR: 16 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

6/4

3rd

Elmalka

25.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Secret Satire

20.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Beautiful Love

17.7

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cinderella's Dream Top Rated	114	128	99
Running Lion	114	129	100
Beautiful Love	113	127	—
Elmalka	112	125	105
Secret Satire	104	118	99

Last Run