Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Curragh

13:20

Date 2025-05-05

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €14,750

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (16)	Neolithic Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Obvious appeal from top yard (had tywo juvenile winners so far)
3 (5)	Andab Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Brother to a Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner; well-bred newcomer, has to be respected
12 (3)	Bear On The Run Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Speedily-bred newcomer; don't rule out
6 (8)	Killourney Reigns Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ten Sovereigns colt; riding arrangements suggest he's Murtagh's number one
13 (1)	Enthusiastically Brown J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ten Sovereigns filly seemingly the pick of the yard's three runners on jockey bookings
11 (12)	Balantina Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ten Sovereigns filly but mid-distance pedigree so this trip could be on the short side
4 (15)	Rapide Vega Bay J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yard won this last year but others make greater appeal on breeding
15 (9)	Innumerable Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Stephen Thorne	J:Chris Hayes T:Stephen Thorne	121	—	4	-	65	-	38d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Respectable Dundalk debut (form working out); sure to appreciate this extra furlong
5 (2)	Kc Bear Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
36,000Euros Kodi Bear colt; Keane booking has to be noted
9 (14)	Simmering Seas Bay J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Sioux Nation filly; seemingly the yard's second-choice here behind Balantina
14 (13)	Heart And A Half Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	J:Andrew Slattery T:J A Stack	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
U S Navy Flag filly is sister to 2yo 7f winner Mission To Moon; market strength noted
10 (7)	Gavoo Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Elzaam filly likely all the better for the experience
16 (10)	Lar Na Coille Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Don't rule out but sire's progeny tend to like an ease in the ground
8 (4)	Vincent Square Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Brendan W Duke	J:Ronan Whelan T:Brendan W Duke	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Cheaply bought Bangkok colt; others make greater appeal
NR (11)	Namiid Bay J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Half-brother to some speedy types; looks the stable second-choice though
NR (6)	Substance Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
85,000gns yearling from the first crop of Middle Park winner Supremacy; market best guide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Neolithic	9/4	2/1	7/4	9/4	85/40
Andab	5/1	11/2	9/2	11/2	5/1
Bear On The Run	11/2	11/2	4/1	11/2	11/2
Killourney Reigns	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Enthusiastically	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Balantina	6/1	11/2	7/1	13/2	10/1
Rapide Vega	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Innumerable	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Kc Bear	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Simmering Seas	22/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Heart And A Half	25/1	22/1	18/1	25/1	20/1
Gavoo	40/1	33/1	28/1	40/1	33/1
Lar Na Coille	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Vincent Square	150/1	100/1	80/1	125/1	80/1
Namiid	-	-	-	-	-
Substance	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Neolithic

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

9/4

2nd

Bear On The Run

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Andab

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Balantina

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

10/1

Killourney Reigns

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Enthusiastically

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Rapide Vega

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Innumerable

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Kc Bear

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Simmering Seas

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Heart And A Half

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Gavoo

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Lar Na Coille

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Vincent Square

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Namiid

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Substance

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Neolithic	—	—	—
Andab	—	—	—
Bear On The Run	—	—	—
Killourney Reigns	—	—	—
Enthusiastically	—	—	—
Balantina	—	—	—
Rapide Vega	—	—	—
Innumerable	—	65	—
Kc Bear	—	—	—
Simmering Seas	—	—	—
Heart And A Half	—	—	—
Gavoo	—	—	—
Lar Na Coille	—	—	—
Vincent Square	—	—	—
Namiid	—	—	—
Substance	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Innumerable	38d ago	Fit
Neolithic	—	—
Andab	—	—
Bear On The Run	—	—
Killourney Reigns	—	—
Enthusiastically	—	—
Balantina	—	—
Rapide Vega	—	—
Kc Bear	—	—
Simmering Seas	—	—
Heart And A Half	—	—
Gavoo	—	—
Lar Na Coille	—	—
Vincent Square	—	—
Namiid	—	—
Substance	—	—