Backing Welsh Racing - DragonBet Handicap Hurdle

Ffos Las

5:00

Date 2025-05-06

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9	Gavin b J:Sean Bowen T:Mickey Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Mickey Bowen	154	h	F3792-	86	102	97	20d	—	—	-14	28.8	Evens 50%
Dual C&D winner; kept on well for second here last month and remains well handicapped
13	Formel Park b J:Isabel Williams T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams T:Evan Williams	142	—	U70P3-	74	101	89	34d	—	—	-1	11	13/2 13%
Kept on for third at Ludlow last month and might still have more improvement to come
3	Dickens b J:Philip Armson(3) T:Alan King	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Alan King	164	h	/5F15-	96	102	90	15d	—	—	+9	21.1	13/2 13%
Good winner from the rear two starts ago but tendency to race too freely remains a worry
2	John Betjeman b J:Lorcan Williams T:Mark Gillard	J:Lorcan Williams T:Mark Gillard	164	v	02641-	96	101	93	17d	—	—	+16	25.9	17/2 11%
Fully exposed after 50 hurdle runs but won last month and is very well suited by this C&D
6	Privilege b J:Charlie Price(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Charlie Price(3) T:John & Rhys Flint	159	—	/PPP4-	91	100	97	31d	—	—	+5	12.2	12/1 8%
0-13 over hurdles but left poor stable debut behind when close fourth at Chepstow in April
12	Mambo Beat ch J:Lee Edwards T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Lee Edwards T:Bernard Llewellyn	143	p	68636-	75	101	86	38d	—	—	+4	10	16/1 6%
Returned to form with good run in March but safely held since and now 0-10 over hurdles
11	Opticality b J:David Noonan T:Tim Vaughan	J:David Noonan T:Tim Vaughan	144	—	57/46-	76	100	60	17d	—	—	+2	8.1	16/1 6%
Safely held on heavy ground last month but has claims if judged on earlier good-ground run
1	Jokers 'n' Clowns b J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Grace Harris	168	p	99022-	100	100	82	17d	—	—	+18	22.2	22/1 4%
Second in two maidens last month; on workable mark for handicap return/stable debut
4	Berkshire Lad b J:James Davies T:Oliver Signy	J:James Davies T:Oliver Signy	163	—	35635-	95	96	67	74d	—	—	+12	14.8	28/1 3%
Placed in a maiden hurdle two starts ago and should have improvement to come in handicaps
8	Kentucky Bluegrass b J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	156	ht	37867-	88	101	83	16d	—	—	+8	11	33/1 3%
Placed in a maiden last spring but subsequent handicap form has been underwhelming
5	Auba Me Yang b J:Jack Hogan T:D J Jeffreys	J:Jack Hogan T:D J Jeffreys	159	—	/PP28-	91	102	27	101d	—	—	+11	13	50/1 2%
Generally disappointing for Emma Lavelle since 2023 C&D win; now with new stable
7	Jlow b J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	157	—	6366-	95	94	85	23d	—	—	+12	13.1	100/1 1%
Last of six on recent stable/handicap debut but still worth a glance in the betting here
NR	Polly Pi b J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	149	—	0079P-	81	90	69	59d	—	—	—	7.8	—
A well-beaten outsider in first two handicap hurdles; drops back in trip today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Gavin	10/11	evn	evn	10/11	Evens
Formel Park	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dickens	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
John Betjeman	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Privilege	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mambo Beat	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Opticality	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Jokers 'n' Clowns	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	16/1
Berkshire Lad	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Kentucky Bluegrass	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Auba Me Yang	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Jlow	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Polly Pi	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gavin

28.8

OR: 9 Form: 5.6 Odds: 14.2

Evens

2nd

John Betjeman

25.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

Jokers 'n' Clowns

22.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Dickens

21.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 6.3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Berkshire Lad

14.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Jlow

13.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Auba Me Yang

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.3 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Privilege

12.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Formel Park

OR: 6 Form: 1.7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kentucky Bluegrass

OR: 9.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Mambo Beat

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Opticality

8.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Polly Pi

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jokers 'n' Clowns Top Rated	100	100	82
Dickens	96	102	90
John Betjeman	96	101	93
Berkshire Lad	95	96	67
Jlow	95	94	85
Privilege	91	100	97
Auba Me Yang	91	102	27
Kentucky Bluegrass	88	101	83
Gavin	86	102	97
Polly Pi	81	90	69
Opticality	76	100	60
Mambo Beat	75	101	86
Formel Park	74	101	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dickens	15d ago	Fit
Kentucky Bluegrass	16d ago	Fit
John Betjeman	17d ago	Fit
Opticality	17d ago	Fit
Jokers 'n' Clowns	17d ago	Fit
Gavin	20d ago	Fit
Jlow	23d ago	Fit
Privilege	31d ago	Fit
Formel Park	34d ago	Fit
Mambo Beat	38d ago	Fit
Polly Pi	59d ago	Fresh
Berkshire Lad	74d ago	Fresh
Auba Me Yang	101d ago	Long break