Download The At The Races App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:25

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2025-05-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Latin Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:James Owen	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:James Owen	134	v	436763	52	68	47	4d	—	—	-33	24.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
0-21, but third on stable debut at Wolverhampton on Tuesday; may build on that; visor on
7 (7)	Create Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	130	p	-70832	48	72	30	36d	—	—	-4	11.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner and not beaten fair when twice placed last month; a player on those efforts
4 (6)	Greenlightforgo Brown J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	134	—	364-88	52	70	-	37d	—	—	-7	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Closely related to a few AW winners (some useful) so the different surface may help
5 (11)	Sam's Hope Bay J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	133	t	526727	51	65	48	31d	—	—	-3	7.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Twice runner-up off this mark on Tapeta this year but this trip does appear to stretch her
9 (2)	Starshot Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Lawrence Mullaney	127	h	-52455	45	65	56	78d	—	—	-2	2.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-29 and has something to prove back up in trip on debut for another new yard
8 (8)	Fire Eyes Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	128	ht	/577/7	46	62	34	113d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not disgraced after 637 days off over C&D in February, but off again since; tongue-tie on
10 (5)	Royal Justice Bay J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Scott Dixon	127	—	4-7006	45	65	42	18d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Modest in four outings since returning for this yard in February;
1 (10)	Luna Dipinta Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Mike Murphy	J:Dylan Hogan T:Mike Murphy	135	h	377-99	53	63	31	19d	—	—	-2	1.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has gone the wrong way and even another drop in grade makes her hard to recommend
6 (1)	Musterion Bay J:Katrine Holm(7) T:John Butler	J:Katrine Holm(7) T:John Butler	132	—	25V70/	50	66	-	614d	—	—	-1	1.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Twice runner-up on AW in 2023, but not seen since September of that year; watch market
2 (9)	Exquisement Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Michael Keady	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Keady	135	—	330-60	53	58	18	21d	—	—	-1	1.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has failed to beat a rival in either start for this yard this month; best watched
11 (3)	Cherry Tree Dawn Bay J:James Sullivan T:Brian Rothwell	J:James Sullivan T:Brian Rothwell	127	p	8U78-8	45	51	-	137d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Not finished within 15l of the winner in five completed starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Latin	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5	5/6
Create	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Greenlightforgo	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	9/1
Sam's Hope	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	8/1
Starshot	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Fire Eyes	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	25/1
Royal Justice	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Luna Dipinta	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Musterion	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Exquisement	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Cherry Tree Dawn	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Latin

24.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 20

5/6

2nd

Create

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Sam's Hope

7.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Greenlightforgo

3.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Starshot

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Luna Dipinta

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Musterion

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Exquisement

1.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Fire Eyes

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Royal Justice

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Cherry Tree Dawn

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Luna Dipinta	53	63	31
Exquisement	53	58	18
Latin	52	68	47
Greenlightforgo	52	70	—
Sam's Hope	51	65	48
Musterion	50	66	—
Create	48	72	30
Fire Eyes	46	62	34
Starshot	45	65	56
Royal Justice	45	65	42
Cherry Tree Dawn	45	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Latin	4d ago	Quick return
Royal Justice	18d ago	Fit
Luna Dipinta	19d ago	Fit
Exquisement	21d ago	Fit
Sam's Hope	31d ago	Fit
Create	36d ago	Fit
Greenlightforgo	37d ago	Fit
Starshot	78d ago	Fresh
Fire Eyes	113d ago	Long break
Cherry Tree Dawn	137d ago	Long break
Musterion	614d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.