Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase – Roscommon

Roscommon

19:38

Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase

Date 2025-06-09

Distance 3m1f24y

Class

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €14,750

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Slane Hill Bay J:E Walsh T:Barry Connell	J:E Walsh T:Barry Connell	161	b	9153-3	121	131	107	24d	—	—	+9	25.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Prone to mistakes in this discipline but could go well if finding some fluency
10	Beggars Rock Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Declan Queally	J:Kevin Sexton T:Declan Queally	156	v	03B2-1	116	132	107	24d	—	—	+17	30.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
6yo who won his beginners' chase with a degree of comfort; handicap debut in this sphere
1	Invictus Machin Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	166	h	61862-	126	129	83	78d	—	—	+17	31	1.50/1	6/1 14%
1-12 over fences but might well have doubled his tally but for a late mistake at Limerick
14	Dorans Law Bay J:Dylan Robinson T:P J Rothwell	J:Dylan Robinson T:P J Rothwell	150	p	062P-2	110	126	64	35d	—	—	+12	23.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Pulled up on soft ground two runs back but solid efforts in defeat on either side of that
12	Hand Over Fist Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	154	p	1F17-6	114	127	97	24d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Modest the last twice but this trip is a better fit and he's feasibly handicapped
7	Brazil Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	158	t	69P4-7	118	130	99	29d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Much better hurdler than chaser and he's now 0-7 in this discipline; modest latest effort
11	Arrycan Bay J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:Liam P Cusack	J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:Liam P Cusack	155	—	0200-2	115	126	46	27d	—	—	+15	23.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ran well to be second off his much lower hurdle mark at Sligo; vulnerable at his age
13	The Gradual Slope Grey J:Mark McDonagh T:Sean O O'Brien	J:Mark McDonagh T:Sean O O'Brien	154	—	4P78-5	114	129	121	29d	—	—	+11	18.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
3m7f winner last May off this mark but needs to rediscover that level of form
8	Mica Malpic Chestnut J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:E Bolger	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:E Bolger	158	p	3543/7	118	126	47	32d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a good mark; well beaten after an absence but made mistakes over too sharp a trip
9	Sea Aster Bay J:J Smith(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:J Smith(5) T:Gordon Elliott	157	p	641U-5	117	127	109	35d	—	—	+12	18.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
3m2f winner at Down Royal in April (good) but can be hit and miss
15	Fairyhill Run Bay J:Liam Quinlan(3) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(3) T:John Patrick Ryan	144	p	4P4-45	104	129	81	18d	—	—	+10	14.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Losing run stretches back to 2021 and hasn't been firing as she can following an absence
2	Donkey Years Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:E McNamara	J:G B Noonan(5) T:E McNamara	162	t	1592-6	122	127	73	29d	—	—	+15	19.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Last chase success was over three years ago; well beaten in the Killarney National
4	Ambitious Fellow Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Peter Fahey	J:Ben Harvey T:Peter Fahey	160	p	F8P0-3	120	128	50	18d	—	—	-7	33.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Should be well handicapped but has yet to convince as a natural over fences
6	Hascoeur Clermont Grey J:P J O'Hanlon T:Charles Coakley	J:P J O'Hanlon T:Charles Coakley	160	—	7063-P	120	130	92	29d	—	—	+15	18.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
28-1 for the Killarney National and ran accordingly
5	Donacheady Gale Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	160	b	75413-	120	126	59	227d	—	—	+26	28	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has the to form to feature but an 11yo now and he lacks recent match practice

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Slane Hill	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	4/1
Beggars Rock	11/2	11/2	11/2	13/2	6/1
Invictus Machin	6/1	11/2	6/1	5/1	11/2
Dorans Law	15/2	15/2	15/2	9/1	8/1
Hand Over Fist	7/1	7/1	7/1	5/1	13/2
Brazil	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Arrycan	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
The Gradual Slope	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Mica Malpic	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sea Aster	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Fairyhill Run	20/1	20/1	20/1	25/1	20/1
Donkey Years	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Ambitious Fellow	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Hascoeur Clermont	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Donacheady Gale	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ambitious Fellow

33.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 3 Odds: 13.3

22/1

2nd

Invictus Machin

OR: 19 Form: 8 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Beggars Rock

30.1

OR: 16.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Donacheady Gale

OR: 17.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Slane Hill

25.8

OR: 17.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Arrycan

23.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Dorans Law

23.1

OR: 15 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Hand Over Fist

19.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Brazil

19.5

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Donkey Years

19.2

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Mica Malpic

18.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sea Aster

18.5

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Hascoeur Clermont

18.3

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

The Gradual Slope

18.1

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Fairyhill Run

14.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Invictus Machin	126	129	83
Donkey Years	122	127	73
Slane Hill	121	131	107
Ambitious Fellow	120	128	50
Hascoeur Clermont	120	130	92
Donacheady Gale	120	126	59
Brazil	118	130	99
Mica Malpic	118	126	47
Sea Aster	117	127	109
Beggars Rock	116	132	107
Arrycan	115	126	46
Hand Over Fist	114	127	97
The Gradual Slope	114	129	121
Dorans Law	110	126	64
Fairyhill Run	104	129	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fairyhill Run	18d ago	Fit
Ambitious Fellow	18d ago	Fit
Slane Hill	24d ago	Fit
Beggars Rock	24d ago	Fit
Hand Over Fist	24d ago	Fit
Arrycan	27d ago	Fit
Brazil	29d ago	Fit
The Gradual Slope	29d ago	Fit
Donkey Years	29d ago	Fit
Hascoeur Clermont	29d ago	Fit
Mica Malpic	32d ago	Fit
Dorans Law	35d ago	Fit
Sea Aster	35d ago	Fit
Invictus Machin	78d ago	Fresh
Donacheady Gale	227d ago	Long break