IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

18:40

Date 2025-07-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Winning Time 1m 12.97s (slow by 2.47s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lope El Fuego (IRE) Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex	11/1	Won
2nd	Concert (GB) Mirai Iwata · William Haggas	25/1	2.25
3rd	Dictal (GB) Colin Keane · Andrew Balding	10/11F	0.3
4th	Affran (GB) Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	16/1	.75
5th	Princess Petrol (GB) George Downing · Ed Walker	18/1	1
6th	Berlinetta (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	3/1	0.05
7th	Moo Deng (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	28/1	2.25
8th	Molly Mac (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Michael Keady	66/1	0.3
9th	Hopeful Dream (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	8/1	12

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Dictal Bay J:Colin Keane T:Andrew Balding	J:Colin Keane T:Andrew Balding	128	—	4	-	78	71	24d	—	—	-31	15.4	0.30/1	6/5 45%
2-1, in touch long way when 4th of nine at Windsor (6f, good); should improve and needs to
2 (9)	Berlinetta Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
260,000gns yearling by Pinatubo; her leading stable running Concert as well
5 (3)	Hopeful Dream Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
By No Nay Never; dam unplaced half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Midnight Mile
6 (2)	Lope El Fuego Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	128	—	5	-	82	22	19d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
10-1 at Bath (5f, good to firm), always in touch and rallying for 5th; best form in this
1 (7)	Affran Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	4	-	67	14	17d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pedigree points to longer trips but she did show ability in a Chepstow maiden (6f, good)
9 (1)	Princess Petrol Chestnut J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
280,000gns yearling by St Mark's Basilica; dam 7f 2yo winner (including Group 3; 104)
3 (8)	Concert Grey J:Mirai Iwata T:William Haggas	J:Mirai Iwata T:William Haggas	128	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
125,000gns by Showcasing; tongue tied for debut; stablemate of Berlinetta
8 (6)	Moo Deng gr/b J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	128	—	64	-	76	22	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
20-1 fourth of eight at Chelmsford (6f, AW) was better but she needs to build on that
7 (5)	Molly Mac Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Keady	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Keady	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
£30,000 breeze-up 2yo by Ardad; trainer has had few 2yo runners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dictal	evn	6/5	11/10	evn	11/10
Berlinetta	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	5/1
Hopeful Dream	11/2	5/1	6/1	6/1	9/2
Lope El Fuego	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Affran	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Princess Petrol	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Concert	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Moo Deng	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Molly Mac	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dictal

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

6/5

2nd

Berlinetta

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

3rd

Hopeful Dream

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Lope El Fuego

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Affran

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Princess Petrol

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Concert

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Moo Deng

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Molly Mac

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dictal	—	78	71
Berlinetta	—	—	—
Hopeful Dream	—	—	—
Lope El Fuego	—	82	22
Affran	—	67	14
Princess Petrol	—	—	—
Concert	—	—	—
Moo Deng	—	76	22
Molly Mac	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moo Deng	14d ago	Fit
Affran	17d ago	Fit
Lope El Fuego	19d ago	Fit
Dictal	24d ago	Fit
Berlinetta	—	—
Hopeful Dream	—	—
Princess Petrol	—	—
Concert	—	—
Molly Mac	—	—