Dalston 'Confined' Handicap (For horses Which Have Not Won Since The 2024 Turf Season)

Carlisle

5:07

Date 2025-07-10

Distance 6f195y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (8)	Jkr Cobbler b J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(5) T:Iain Jardine	137	—	2119-2	64	74	64	3d	—	—	-6	14.7	10/3 23%
Returning from an absence when runner-up at Ayr (7f; Keep Warm fourth) on Monday; player.
1 (2)	Keep Warm b J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	142	v	73-844	69	75	57	3d	—	—	-10	10.9	4/1 20%
Not beaten far (fourth) when returning to this trip at Ayr (good/soft) on Monday; chance.
9 (10)	Law Degree b J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	129	p	2-9677	64	76	51	16d	—	—	-5	12	9/2 18%
Most effective on soft; met sustained trouble at Beverley (7.5f) latest; place possible.
3 (5)	Highfield Viking b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	136	b	35-563	63	78	68	8d	—	—	-6	6.9	6/1 14%
Unfortunate (met trouble) not to have had more of a say at Thirsk (7f; third) last week.
4 (6)	Invitorio b J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	135	v	-48806	70	74	52	3d	—	—	-4	8.6	6/1 14%
Redcar novice winner (6f, soft) last October; failed to kick on positively; visor applied.
8 (9)	Mayberry Moon b J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	130	—	10-573	65	74	44	19d	—	—	0	5.4	14/1 7%
Ayr third (7f; winner unfortunate not to follow up) was more encouraging; bit more needed.
10 (3)	Suzette ch J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	128	—	9-6058	63	72	48	24d	—	—	0	4.5	20/1 5%
C&D nursery winner (soft; 13-2) last August; poor since (0-6); can wind surgery assist?
7 (12)	Hot To Dot b J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	132	h	22-780	67	72	-	27d	—	—	+1	5.3	22/1 4%
Excuses for poor Chester run - drawn wide & hampered - latest; sports newly applied hood.
11 (11)	Marsh Meadow b J:Sam James T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Sam James T:Adrian Paul Keatley	126	—	3455	61	72	61	14d	—	—	+1	4.5	28/1 3%
Travelled smoothly on AW debut at Newcastle (7f; fifth), but unable to pick up once asked.
12 (4)	Mwafaq b J:Barry McHugh T:Richard Fahey	J:Barry McHugh T:Richard Fahey	125	p	5-7386	60	75	62	19d	—	—	0	3.4	25/1 4%
Still seeking first win; found things happening too quickly at Redcar (1m); cheekpieces on
5 (1)	I Need Your Love b J:Nathan Evans T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Nathan Evans T:Michael & David Easterby	134	b	33-940	69	74	41	3d	—	—	+3	5.5	28/1 3%
Off the mark at Redcar (6f, good; first-time visor) last September; disappointing in 2025.
6 (7)	Habari b J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	133	—	058-40	68	73	15	29d	—	—	+4	4.8	100/1 1%
Slowly away and always behind on first start for this trainer at Kempton (6f, beaten 25l).

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Jkr Cobbler	3/1	10/3	16/5	3/1	10/3
Keep Warm	10/3	7/2	7/2	4/1	10/3
Law Degree	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Highfield Viking	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Invitorio	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Mayberry Moon	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Suzette	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Hot To Dot	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Marsh Meadow	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Mwafaq	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
I Need Your Love	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Habari	100/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jkr Cobbler

14.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Law Degree

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Keep Warm

10.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Invitorio

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Highfield Viking

6.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

I Need Your Love

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Mayberry Moon

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Hot To Dot

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Habari

4.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Suzette

4.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Marsh Meadow

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mwafaq

3.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Invitorio Top Rated	70	74	52
Keep Warm	69	75	57
I Need Your Love	69	74	41
Habari	68	73	15
Hot To Dot	67	72	—
Mayberry Moon	65	74	44
Jkr Cobbler	64	74	64
Law Degree	64	76	51
Highfield Viking	63	78	68
Suzette	63	72	48
Marsh Meadow	61	72	61
Mwafaq	60	75	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jkr Cobbler	3d ago	Quick return
Keep Warm	3d ago	Quick return
Invitorio	3d ago	Quick return
I Need Your Love	3d ago	Quick return
Highfield Viking	8d ago	Quick return
Marsh Meadow	14d ago	Fit
Law Degree	16d ago	Fit
Mayberry Moon	19d ago	Fit
Mwafaq	19d ago	Fit
Suzette	24d ago	Fit
Hot To Dot	27d ago	Fit
Habari	29d ago	Fit