Bailey Family Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

15:45

Bailey Family Handicap

Date 2025-07-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 13.20s (slow by 5.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Em Four (GB) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	4/1	Won
2nd	Papabella (GB) Oisin Murphy · Stuart Kittow	5/2	2.75
3rd	Connie's Rose (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Grace Harris	15/2	.75
4th	Saffredi (GB) Edward Greatrex · Grace Harris	15/8F	.5
5th	Rory Rocket (GB) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	10/1	9
6th	Sub Thirteen (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	18/1	6

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	Saffredi Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Grace Harris	J:Edward Greatrex T:Grace Harris	130	p	375533	61	80	75	7d	—	—	-12	16.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Two good turf runs since fitted with cheekpieces; 2lb well in and set to go well once more
2 (4)	Papabella Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Kittow	J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Kittow	135	—	3-2419	66	76	63	14d	—	—	-12	14.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Beat Connie's Rose over C&D last month; pulled too hard on AW latest; solid back on turf
5 (6)	Em Four Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	131	—	160444	67	79	59	14d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-7	8.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Yet to win a handicap but three good runs this summer; shouldn't be far away
1 (5)	Connie's Rose Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	136	tv	327723	67	77	61	24d	—	—	+4	14.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Loves it here and comes here in good order; new headgear could be a positive; contender
3 (3)	Rory Rocket Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	134	—	22-2	70	75	50	29d	—	1W/1P 1 run	0	14	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Second in three novice/maiden runs at up to 6f; brings untapped potential to h'cap debut
4 (1)	Sub Thirteen Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	134	—	16456-	65	77	60	259d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	7.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Did well for Tony Carroll in 2024, winning three; returns from absence on winning mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Saffredi	9/4	2/1	2/1	9/4	2/1
Papabella	9/4	5/2	5/2	10/3	11/4
Em Four	11/2	5/1	5/1	4/1	5/1
Connie's Rose	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2	13/2
Rory Rocket	7/1	6/1	13/2	9/2	5/1
Sub Thirteen	12/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saffredi

16.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Connie's Rose

14.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Papabella

14.1

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

10/3

Rory Rocket

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

7/1

Em Four

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Sub Thirteen

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rory Rocket	70	75	50
Em Four	67	79	59
Connie's Rose	67	77	61
Papabella	66	76	63
Sub Thirteen	65	77	60
Saffredi	61	80	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saffredi	7d ago	Quick return
Papabella	14d ago	Fit
Em Four	14d ago	Fit
Connie's Rose	24d ago	Fit
Rory Rocket	29d ago	Fit
Sub Thirteen	259d ago	Long break